Most exit polls also predicted that RJD would emerge again as the largest party in the 243-member Assembly along with a clear drop in the JD (U) seat count of Bihar’s chief minister Nitish Kumar.
Several exit polls on November 7 gave the RJD-led Opposition alliance in Bihar an advantage over the ruling NDA, while at least three of them predicted a clear majority for the Mahagathbandhan (MGB), which has projected Tejashwi Yadav as its main ministerial face.
Most exit polls also predicted that RJD would emerge again as the largest party in the 243-member Assembly along with a clear drop in the JD (U) seat count of Bihar’s chief minister Nitish Kumar.
| NDA | MGB | LJP | Others | |
| Today’s Chanakya-CNN News18 | 55 | 180 | 8 | |
| India Today-Axis My India | 69-91 | 139-161 | 3-5 | 3-5 |
| ABP-CVoter | 104-128 | 108-131 | 1-3 | |
| Times Now-CVoter | 116 | 120 | 1-3 | |
| Republic TV-Jan Ki Baat | 104 | 128 | 7 | 4 |
| TV9 Bharatvarsh | 115 | 120 | 4 | 4 |
The counting of votes for the three-phase Bihar Assembly elections, which ended on November 7, will take place on November 10. Exit polls are generally based on comments from a limited number of voters in selected areas and none of them are 100% accurate to record.
Today’s Chanakya-CNN News18 projected 180 seats for the RJD-led grand alliance, 55 for the NDA and eight for others. The majority mark is 122.
The India Today-Axis My India poll showed that the RJD-led bloc won 139-161 seats, down from 69-91 for the NDA. He predicted 3-5 seats for LJP and also 3-5 for others.
ABP-CVoter’s exit poll predicted that the NDA would win 104-128 seats and 108-131 seats for the large opposition alliance. He projected the LJP led by Chirag Paswan to obtain 1-3 seats.
Times Now-CVoter predicted a similar trend, which projected 116 seats for the NDA, 120 for the opposition alliance and a single seat for the LJP. He predicted six seats for others.
The Republic TV-Jan Ki Baat exit poll also gave the RJD-led alliance a clear majority with 128 seats, while it projected 104 seats for the ruling NDA, seven seats for LJP and four for others.
TV9 Bharatvarsh projected that NDA would win 115 seats, the grand alliance 120, and four for LJP and others.
Share vote
In terms of vote participation, Today’s Chanakya projected 44% for the opposition alliance led by RJD and 34% for the NDA.
However, ABP-CVoter projected a higher share of votes for NDA at 37.7% followed by the great alliance with 36.3% and 26% for others.
The India Today-Axis My India survey showed that 44% of respondents prefer Mr. Yadav as the next Chief Minister, while 35% would like to give Mr. Kumar another chance. It projected 44% vote participation for the RJD-led alliance and 39% for the NDA.
Elections to the Bihar Assembly | Full coverage
In the 2015 Assembly elections, the RJD won 80 seats with a vote share of 18%, while JD (U) won 71 seats with a vote share of 11%. The BJP obtained 53 seats with a 24% participation in the votes and the Congress 27 seats with 7% of the votes. At that time, the JD (U) had fought the election in alliance with the RJD and Congress among other parties, while the LJP was in the NDA alliance led by the BJP. The LJP had obtained two seats with a 5% participation in the votes.
This time, the JD (U) is back in the NDA, while the LJP fought alone in the elections. During the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, when both the JD (U) and the LJP were in the NDA, the alliance won 39 out of 40 seats in the state.
Surveys by assembly
Exit polls also predicted the results of by-elections held in several states. According to the India Today-Axis My India exit poll, the BJP government in Madhya Pradesh will survive, as it projected that the party will win between 16 and 18 seats, and it is estimated that Congress will accumulate between 10 and 12 of the total. out of 28 seats that went to the polls.
Similarly, for the by-elections in Uttar Pradesh, the exit poll predicted that BJP would win 5-6 seats, SP 1-2 seats and BSP 0-1 seats, out of the eight seats for which the vote was taken. On November 3.
In Gujarat, where eight seats were voted on November 3, the same exit poll projected that the BJP would win 6-7 seats in the Assembly and Congress in a single seat. The BJP is in power in both Gujarat and Uttar Pradesh.
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