Axis My India’s exit poll went horribly wrong in Bihar. Explain why – bihar choice


Axis My India has issued an apology for wrongly predicting the results of the 2020 Bihar Assembly elections in its exit poll, which favored Mahagathbandhan to form the government. The Axis My India pollsters had earned a reputation for correctly calling elections in the recent past. The India Today-Axis My India exit poll had claimed that the Mahagathbandhan, led by Tejashwi Yadav, would defeat the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) by winning 139-161 seats in the Bihar assembly, suggesting a comfortable majority in a 243-member chamber. .

However, the Rashtriya Janata Dal Grand Alliance (RJD), Congress and Left parties were reduced to 110 seats, while the NDA crossed the magic number of 122 to form the government in Bihar. The final results of the Bihar Assembly elections were a major setback for Axis My India, as the exit poll was far from the actual results. Pradeep Gupta, President and CEO of Axis My India, shared the company’s statement from his Twitter account, saying that it is time to “learn more and refine our technique.”

Click here for full coverage of the 2020 Bihar Assembly elections

“Sorry folks, Axis My India could not properly call the Bihar elections. Without excuses, it is time to learn more and perfect our technique, ”the statement said.

Digging deeper into its initial conclusions from the analysis of what went wrong, Axis My India said that overall female voter turnout was 5 percent higher than men’s, apparently tilting polls in favor of the NDA. The company said the data became available in the public domain only after the exit survey. He added that the participation of male voters was 1% more than that of women in the first phase, but that in the later phases there was 6% and 11% more participation of female voters.

“Axis My India’s predictions are exactly in line with the results of the first phase, but they failed in the second and third phases. Covid-19 restrictions limited the number of interviews of female voters, ”the company added.

.