The opposition coalition in Bihar led by Tejashwi Yadav will win 124 seats, just past the majority mark, and incumbent Chief Minister Nitish Kumar’s National Democratic Alliance will win 110, an opinion poll aggregate said Saturday after the vote. three-phase completed in the state. .
Time Now-C Voter grants 116 to NDA and slight lead to opposition Mahagathbandhan at 120. Says Chirag Paswan’s Lok Janshakti Party (LJP) will win a seat.
Republic TV-Jan Ki Baat awarded 118 to 138 seats to the opposition alliance and 91-117 seats to the ruling NDA. Chirag Paswan’s party is likely to win five to eight seats, he says.
One word of warning: exit polls are often wrong.
Results from Bihar will be announced on Tuesday, November 10.
Any party or coalition needs 122 for a majority in the 243-seat Bihar assembly. If these polls are any indication, it means that opposition to the incumbent may be a major challenge for Chief Minister Nitish Kumar’s candidacy for a fourth consecutive term. His campaign was marked by public displays of anger; In addition to booing, the five-time Chief Minister faced an onion attack at one of his rallies.
Discontent over employment, the migration crisis, the management of the coronavirus and the floods could be the undoing of the Prime Minister who prided himself on as “Susashan Babu.”
At the conclusion of his campaign, Nitish Kumar even dramatically announced that this was his last pick and that “it is okay that ends well.” The statement was later clarified by his advisers as his “last election rally,” but his rivals and analysts came up with a different interpretation.
Exit polls also indicate that the BJP may have the upper hand over Nitish Kumar, who was repeatedly assured by a number of BJP leaders that he was still the top face of the coalition in Bihar.
Polls indicate a tectonic shift from last year’s national elections, when the NDA won 39 of Bihar’s 40 Lok Sabha seats, decimating the opposition and sending Tejashwi Yadav, who took over the RJD while his father Lalu Yadav he was serving a jail sentence. – to temporary self-exile.
But in this campaign, 31-year-old Tejashwi Yadav emerged as the crowd-drawers, drawing huge applause at every rally with his promise to sign 10 lakhs of government posts at his first cabinet meeting.
The polling poll also leaves open the possibility of a fragmented verdict, given that none of the major coalitions has a massive majority. In that case, Chirag Paswan, who ran separately from the NDA to defeat Nitish Kumar but declared his steadfast loyalty to Prime Minister Narendra Modi and the BJP, may become a significant factor.
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