US Poll Results: How Rural Voters For The First Time Outperformed Experts In Polls, Once Again | World News

Pollsters and experts have once again felt embarrassed that US President Donald Trump and his Republican Party have performed much better than expected, based on what appears to be the support of first-time voters. A look at the predictions for the 17 swing states and the national popular vote shows that they were significantly out of place in nine of these states, and nationally.
Trump is tied or within a point or two of Biden in many battle states, and Biden is nowhere near the 6-10% lead that most polls gave him.
Trump has registered about 66 million votes in the popular vote nationwide, an increase of 10% from the 60 million he got in 2016. Biden surpasses him with 68 million votes, also a record for Democrats, but it’s not the 10% that polls had predicted. .
While pollsters said they had taken into account the “timid Trump voter” who got them wrong in 2016, it appears that this time they did not take into account young rural voters for the first time, among whom Trump is apparently a figure. cult.

In PennsylvaniaWhere the average forecast was that Biden would win by 1.2 percentage points, Trump led by 11.5 percentage points. Given the 20 votes from the Pennsylvania Electoral College, this was of immense importance.
In Texas, Ohio, Georgia, North Carolina and Iowa, polls underestimated the extent of Trump’s advantage. In Florida, what they saw as a small lead from Biden turned out to be a relatively comfortable victory for Trump. In Michigan, the comfortable victory predicted for Biden came up against a narrow Trump lead in actual results. But polls also underestimated Biden’s victories in Colorado, Arizona and Minnesota.
Likewise, pre-election polls are out of place in the US House and Senate elections, which Democrats were expected to take control with growing majorities.