Fewer than 800,000 active cases in India for the first time, experts have a warning


Continuing the downward trend, the number of active or infected cases currently fell below 800,000 on Friday. This has happened for the first time since September 1, when the number of active cases was still on the rise, with fewer recoveries and more new cases being recorded daily. On average, more than 84,000 new cases were reported each day during the first week of September, while only about 69,000 recoveries occurred.

The third week of September saw a decline in active cases, patients in need of treatment or some form of care, after reaching the grim milestone of reporting more than 1 million cases a day. On Thursday, only 62,212 cases were reported and there were 70,816 recoveries, data provided by the union health ministry shows.

Of the new cases, 79% were reported in 10 states and union territories: Maharashtra, Karnataka, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, West Bengal, Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Odisha. Maharashtra accounted for more than 18% of the new cases.

On Thursday, 837 deaths were reported due to the infection, of which 82% were from ten states; Punjab and Madhya Pradesh were the two states that did not report very high cases but had many deaths, while Delhi and Odisha had a large number of cases but did not report as many deaths.

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“The improved medical infrastructure across the country, the implementation of standard treatment protocols, and the dedication and total commitment of physicians, paramedics, and frontline workers have led to a persistent increase in the number of total recoveries with a drop in the mortality rate. India continues to record high recoveries and one of the lowest death rates in the world, ”the ministry said.

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India’s fatality rate (CFR), the proportion of deaths among those who tested positive, stands at 1.52% versus a world average of 2.8%.

Experts fear an increase in cases again with the festival season ahead.

“The number of cases is likely to increase again if people increase their interactions during the festival season and do not follow preventive measures. Although the decline we are seeing is good news, the fear is that the infection has now traveled to smaller cities and towns where there are no adequate treatment and testing facilities, meaning that many of the cases and deaths that occur there could not be reported. The current downward trend that we are seeing is the decline in the number of cases in the larger cities, ”said Dr. Lalit Kant, former director of the department of epidemiology and infectious diseases at the Indian Council of Medical Research.

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