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At a press conference, the deputy secretary of the Ministry of Health, Lav Agarwal, said that there has been a reduction in the doubling time of COVID-19 cases in the country from 12 days to two days ago to 10 now due to the increase in cases in some places. , even when he stated that the peak of the disease can be avoided if both are followed and are not prescribed.
“As we speak of relaxation in the confinement and of migrant workers returning to their respective homes, we have before us a great challenge: we also have to learn to live with the virus,” he said.
“And when we talk about learning to live with the virus, it’s very important that the guidelines that exist to save yourself from the virus are adopted in the community as a behavior change,” said Agarwal.
It is a great challenge and the government needs community support for it, he said.
Delhi Prime Minister Arvind Kejriwal also recently said that people will have to be ready to live with the new coronavirus and that the time has come to reopen the city as the government announced certain relaxations.
Given the situation of coronavirus cases in the district, Agarwal said that there are 216 districts in which no COVID-19 cases have been reported to date.
On May 1, the Ministry of Health classified 733 districts of the country as 130 in the red zone, 284 in the orange zone and 319 in the green zone, taking into account the incidence of COVID-19 cases, the duplication rate , the scope of testing and surveillance. feedback.
Forty-two districts have had no new cases in the last 28 days, while 29 districts have not reported new cases of COVID-19 in the last 21 days. Additionally, 36 districts have not registered any new cases in the past 14 days and 46 districts have had no new cases in the past seven days, he said.
When asked about the director of AIIMS Delhi, Dr. Randeep Guleria’s observations citing model data that the peak of the disease in India can be reached in June or July, Agarwal said: “If we follow the two and don’t they prescribe, we may not peak in the number of COVID-19 cases and our curve may remain flat. ”
If precautions are not taken and guidelines are not followed properly, there may be an increase in cases, he warned, stressing that community support and field action must continue so that the country does not reach its peak.
Responding to a question about how many cases India could witness if the peak arrives in June-July, the official said different organizations have projected a number from a few thousand to a few million rupees according to his analysis.
“The determination that field-level action based on that will be a little difficult varies widely. We do an analysis based on the current case growth rate and the rate of duplication, according to the analysis, our rate of duplication is now about 10 days and simultaneously, we do it An analysis of the districts and cities where cases are increasing.
“Based on that, we see where further action and efforts are required to increase the doubling time of cases,” said Agarwal.
Claiming that some states like Maharashtra, Gujarat, Delhi, Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh have witnessed an increase in cases over the past few days, Agarwal emphasized the need to strengthen containment efforts to stop the increase, along with proper enforcement. of measures such as physical distance. at the field level.
“As migrant workers return to their respective states of origin, it is essential that all precautions regarding infection prevention and management are taken during the movement and that rules are followed in quarantine and isolation facilities,” Agarwal said.
“We ask the workers to understand that this is for their own benefit, their people, town and city. They must follow physical distance, hands, respiratory and environmental hygiene and support the local administration,” he said.
Providing details on recovered patients, Agarwal said India’s recovery rate is 29.36 percent, with 16,540 COVID-19 patients who have been cured so far, including 1,273 who recovered in the past 24 hours. .
He said that 3.2 percent of the total active cases of COVID-19 are in oxygen support, 4.2 percent in ICU and 1.1 percent in ventilator:
A total of 3,390 COVID-19 cases and 103 deaths have been reported in the last 24 hours through Friday at 8 a.m., bringing the total number of cases to 56,342 and the number of deaths to 1,886, according to the ministry.
Agarwal also said that ICMR will conduct randomized controlled clinical trials to assess the safety and efficacy of convalescent plasma therapy in COVID-19 patients in 21 hospitals.
The hospitals where the trials will be conducted include five from Maharashtra, four from Gujarat, two from Rajasthan, Tamil Nadu, Madhya Pradesh, UP and one from Karnataka, Chandigarh, Punjab, Telangana.
During the briefing, Agarwal also said that the railways have converted 5,231 wagons into COVID care centers that will be located at 215 identified rail stations and will be used to treat very mild and mild COVID19 patients.
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