Recent infections, deaths rise faster in India than in most countries



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So far this week, the number of cases has increased by 40 percent (between Monday morning and Saturday morning). This is a much faster rate of increase compared to the previous five days, when confirmed cases increased by 29 percent.

Although the trajectory of the Indian coronavirus has decreased since last month, it continues to be more pronounced compared to its Asian peers such as Japan and Singapore. The increase in infections and deaths in India is now faster than in most other countries.

India’s case count is now roughly double what it was eleven days ago. This is much slower compared to early April, when cases doubled every four days. Deaths have also seen a slower increase compared to the trend in early April, but have picked up the pace over the past week. The death toll in India for covid-19 as of today morning was 1,981, roughly double what it was ten days ago.

At the current rate of compound daily growth, the number of cases could increase to 75,000 in four days. If this trajectory continues beyond that period, it could overload India’s hospital capacity and strain an already overloaded health system.

At 14,862, Maharashtra leads in terms of the number of active cases, according to the health ministry update this morning. Active cases exclude deaths and recoveries from the list of confirmed cases.

Gujarat has the second highest number of active cases (5,081), followed by Tamil Nadu (4,364). With 4,230 active cases, Delhi has the fourth highest number of active cases, followed by Madhya Pradesh (1,792). The top five states together account for 76 percent of active cases nationwide, and the top ten states account for 94 percent of all cases.

Nationwide, the active case count was 39,834 as of today morning. It’s still the first few days, and the statewide distribution could change in the coming days as testing expands across states.

Source: MoFHW
Source: MoFHW

In the past seven days, Punjab, Tamil Nadu and Delhi have seen the highest peak in cases among the top ten states with the majority of cases. These three states account for 44 percent of all new active cases in this period. During the same period, deaths have increased the most in West Bengal, Gujarat and Rajasthan. These three states account for 34 percent of all covid-related deaths in the past seven days.

Among the top ten states with the most active cases, case fatality rates are highest in West Bengal (9.5%), Gujarat (6%) and Madhya Pradesh (6%). India’s fatality rate is now 3.2%. Among all states, case fatality rates are lowest in Tamil Nadu (0.7%), Odisha (0.7%), and Kerala (0.8%).

In the past two days, the districts of Mumbai, Chennai, Thane, Ahmedabad and Thiruvallur (Tamil Nadu) have seen the largest increase in nationally confirmed cases. These five districts account for 53 percent of new cases during this period, according to data collected by howindialives.com the night before. Other districts that have seen a sharp increase in the past two days are Nashik (Maharashtra), Kolkata and Bhopal.

Source: National Disaster Management Authority, state ministries of health, and national / regional publications.
Source: National Disaster Management Authority, state ministries of health, and national / regional publications.
Source: NDMA, state ministries of health, and national / regional publications.
Source: NDMA, state ministries of health, and national / regional publications.

So far, 519 districts have confirmed cases in the country. Mumbai (12,904 cases) has reported the highest number of cases nationwide among all districts, followed by Ahmedabad (4,991) in Gujarat. Chennai (3,052) in Tamil Nadu, Pune (2,269) in Maharashtra, and Thane (1,889) in Maharashtra are the other main districts. These top five districts now account for 42 percent of confirmed cases in the country.

Indore (1,727) in Madhya Pradesh, New Delhi (1,458), Jaipur (1,131) in Rajasthan, Jodhpur (876) in Rajasthan, and Kolkata (873) in West Bengal are the top-ranked districts. Ten Districts The top ten districts account for 54 percent of confirmed cases nationwide.

Most of India’s hot spots so far have been wealthy urban districts, with wealthier states more affected than the rest.

The coronavirus case count has crossed 3.9 million worldwide, even as various parts of the country and the world remain blocked to contain the pandemic.

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