Europe’s fight to include a second wave of coronavirus has reached a tipping point.
This week, Europe surpassed the U.S. in key metrics that monitor the spread of the virus when calculating differences in population size. In 27 countries of the European Union and the UK, Oct. During the seven-day period ending on the 12th, or 152 cases per million inhabitants, an average of 78,000 cases were reported daily. The U.S. recorded an average of 49,000 records per day over the same period, about 150 per million inhabitants.
This is the first time that Europe has overtaken the US in the peak of the virus in spring when the disease has not been detected in large numbers due to the limited testing capacity of countries. The virus was transmitted from Florida to California in late June. The new Europe, similar to what was faced, has now reached a critical juncture in Europe.
Europe accounts for the average daily death per capita in the U.S. In the same seven-day period, the U.S. recorded an average of 2 deaths per million inhabitants per day, more than double the European average.
Both sides of the Atlantic increased testing during the summer, allowing countries to uncover many more cases. But Europe and the U.S. In many hotspots, the proportion of positive tests is also increasing, according to pathologists, the virus is spreading, spreading even faster than ramp-up test programs.
Governments have taken targeted measures in an effort to contain the virus without drawing the economic woes that come with nationwide lockdown. European leaders have sabotaged specific cities, towns or demographics, such as youth.
In a major development, the government of French President Emmanuel Macron on Wednesday declared a state of emergency and announced a night curfew for the Paris region and eight other metropolitan areas across the country. The curfew will begin at 9pm and run until December 1, Mr Macron said.
“The message I want to send today is that I need each of you to find a solution, we need each other.”
Europe’s target approach, however, is running counter to the cold math of the increasing case load. Countries including France, Spain, the Netherlands, Belgium and the UK report daily infections in 250 million people daily – more than the U.S. reported during its July peak.
“It looks like we’re at a tipping point in terms of the number of infections,” said Flavio Tuxward, an infectious diseases economist at Cambridge University in the UK.
Winter is coming, and public health experts say governments need to crack down on sick patients or dangerous hospitals. There is also an increase in the workload of the contact with the charge of sniffing potential carriers and breaking transmission chains, obstructing efforts to control the spread.
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“What all the countries are trying to do now is to buy time to try to survive the winter,” he said. Linda Bould, a professor of public health at the University of Edinburgh in the UK, said: “Bringing the number of cases down now means they can operate their systems.”
Health experts are also concerned about an increase in the rate of people testing positive for the pathogen. The World Health Organization says countries should aim to conduct adequate tests to maintain a positive result of approximately% or less.
The positive return of coronavirus tests in France rose to 9% in late September, three times the rate in the summer, according to figures from the European Center for Disease Prevention and Control. In Spain, the positivity rate reached 10%. In the UK it was around 3% in early October.
Cases of missing the second sign test may be missing: Statistical modeling using a representative sample of UK adults conducted by the country’s statistics agency estimates that Sept. Between October 25 and Oct, about 17,200 people were infected in England in a single day. The daily official number for that period averages 9,500.
An increase in cases has begun to show in increasing hospital admissions. The ECDC said in its most recent surveillance report that in 19 European countries, including France, Spain and the UK, the number of hospital admissions in Covid-19 in early October was around a quarter or more of what reached during the April peak of the epidemic. .
Some health authorities say they are looking for earlier cases at the moment – when they are less serious and hospitals are better prepared for their treatment.
Coronavirus patients at Madrid’s La Paz Hospital have seized all 30 intensive care beds, one of the largest in Spain, said radiologist Daniel Bernabeu. Still, the hospital hospital has 120 critical care units, usually beds reserved for patients in postoperative recovery, which may suit the needs of Covid-19 cases. The hospital has a total of 220 patients with coronavirus.
“The first wave of the virus was a tsunami, it was accelerating us,” said Dr. Barnaby. “This second wave is more like a tide.”
The main reason why the death toll in Europe has not been as high as it was during the spring is that the virus has spread mostly to young people who are less likely to become seriously ill. Older generations have been able to maintain their distance with mortality.
There are indications that the dam between the young and the old is under stress. A study led by Imperial College Ledge London estimated that three out of every 1,000 UK residents and older were infected with the virus as early as 65 October, eight times the level a month earlier. People aged 18 to 24 were the most exposed, with an estimated 12 out of every 1,000 people believed to be infected. Data from English hospitals show that admissions for Covid-19 are low but growing the fastest among more than 85 people.
Health authorities blame the outburst of summer social activity for sowing the seeds of Europe’s renaissance. After spending the spring confined to their homes, Europeans were freed up for transcontinental travel for the summer and enjoyed without clear rules of social-distance. They lashed out at beach strips along the Atlantic coast and made illegal raids in Berlin and Paris.
Since then, governments have imposed new sanctions. Just before Wednesday, France closed bars in Paris and other major cities and introduced the need to wear masks everywhere outside the privacy of the home.
Spain declared a state of emergency last Friday, prompting it to extend a partial lockdown on Madrid, where local officials resisted fresh sanctions. The new measures – which affect approximately 8. million people in the capital and nine surrounding cities – only allow them to move out of Madrid for essential purposes such as work and medical care.
In the UK, Prime Minister Boris John on Monday announced a new three-tier sanctions system for England. Strict measures have been imposed in the city of Liverpool, where the virus is spreading rapidly, with less stringent restrictions being enforced elsewhere.
Liverpool Infectious Diseases Physician Tom Wingfield said hospitals in his area, which have seen an increase in Covid-19 admissions, are now operating without affecting routine surgery and other healthcare services. “As bed pressure increases and prolonged winters come, it is not clear how long this condition will last.”
Mad Maria Martinez in Madrid contributed to this article.
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