Experts say that the number of new infections could now grow at an exponential rate.

Coronavirus – the second wave

Half a year after the spring outbreak of the coronavirus pandemic, the second wave of the pandemic has arrived. The radical increase in the number of infected is forcing more and more countries to reimpose restrictions, although the world economy has not even recovered from the effects of the spring outbreak. According to the posters, the second wave also reached Hungary. Follow our news!

On Monday, on a five-point scale, the British government raised the level of preparedness, which indicates the intensity of the coronavirus epidemic, from three to four. It was decided that this was proposed in a joint motion by the Chief Medical Officers of the four nations of the United Kingdom, England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland.

According to medical chiefs, although the number of coronavirus infections and deaths was low for some time,

the number of cases is now growing rapidly, probably at an exponential rate, in important areas of the four nations of the UK.

The lower green rating of the five-tier epidemic alert system introduced in May indicates that the novel coronavirus causing COVID-19 is no longer present in the UK. At the same time, the fifth highest red alert level on the scale would indicate a critical situation in which there would be a substantial risk that the health system would not be able to cope with the epidemic.

Following the introduction of the reserve system in May, the British government put the fourth tier into effect, but moderated it on June 19. According to the assessment of the situation made by the chief doctors at that time, the number of cases in the four parts of the country decreased continuously during that period.

The official definition of the third level of preparedness, which was in effect until Monday, is that the coronavirus is still present in the UK, but it is already possible to gradually ease restrictions to spread it and rules to keep people separate.

However, due to the current acceleration in the number of infected, hardening is back on the agenda. Shortly before the announcement, Sir Patrick Vallance, the British government’s chief scientific adviser, said:

If countermeasures are not taken, the number of new infections per day could double every 7-8 days, and according to this spread model, 49,000 could be infected in a single day before October 13, and a month after, the number of deaths it would increase to more than two hundred a day.

However, he emphasized that this was not a forecast and that the current upward spread curve could be broken by countermeasures that are being prepared or already being taken.

Prime Minister Boris Johnson will convene the government’s Special Situations Advisory Board (COBRA) on Tuesday and will likely announce steps to curb the epidemic afterward.

According to British media reports from government sources, possible measures include ordering a two-week national “mini-blockade”. The measures would include a temporary ban on group gatherings for people living outside the same home, or the closing of certain restaurants or restrictions on their opening hours.

However, Johnson has signaled multiple times in recent days that he has no intention of reimposing a full nationwide shutdown similar to that in March because the British economy would not tolerate it.

Following widespread national restrictions imposed at the end of March, which have since been largely lifted or significantly reduced, the UK’s gross domestic product (GDP) fell at an unprecedented rate of 20.4 percent in the second quarter of this year.



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