US Presidential Election: Showing Who Stands Better Two Weeks Before Elections

In national polls, Democratic candidate Joe Biden still has a significant advantage over Donald Trump, according to electoral attachés from Real Clear Politics. According to an average of polls from the last two weeks, Joe Biden would get 51.3 percent of the national vote and Donald Trump 42.4 percent. The 8.9 percentage point difference is a minimal improvement for Trump compared to the 10.3 percentage point difference on October 10.

However, national polls do not give a good picture of the possible outcome of the election, it is much more important to examine the individual states of the battlefield where both candidates have roughly equal chances of winning. Looking at this, we can say that based on polls alone, Joe Biden would currently score a sure victory over Donald Trump.

However, some of the above states are worth highlighting. In Ohio, for example, Trump took the lead, where a slight lead from Biden has been measured in recent days. In Wisconsin, on the other hand, Biden is dragged down significantly, and in Pennsylvania, Michigan, he also has a big advantage as a Democratic candidate. Trump is likely to pull in Texas, and his chances are good in Georgia, Florida, Ohio and Arizona as well.

But even if he won them, he would not remain president because there are many more states that Democrats will almost certainly attract than states with a certain Republican advantage.

Trump, on the other hand, can still rely on the inaccuracy of opinion polls that measured Hillary Clinton most likely in 2016, compared to those that Trump ultimately had a sure advantage in the Electoral College. In any case, Trump has been extremely active for the past two weeks, going through the battlefield states in turn.

The parties will return to debate on Friday in Hungarian time, the discussion will be covered live by the Portfolio at sunrise, and then a short flash evaluation of the discussion will be published.

Cover image: Getty Images