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The secret history of the 2018 elections in 84 color pages.
I’ll buy it
Ten days have passed since Joe Biden secured his victory in the US presidential election, but Donald Trump, the president who failed his re-election after a cycle, has not acknowledged his defeat to this day. What he did not admit, he has since clung to his incapable accusations that his rival has only been able to win through a fraud that spreads to several states of the United States and requires the active participation of thousands, falsifying thousands and in some cases tens of thousands of votes.
These scams have not been convincing since then, or in most cases, with evidence. On the contrary, dozens of lawsuits brought by Trump’s legal staff have failed in tragicomic circumstances in court. But the most severe blow to Wednesday night struck Trump’s staff:
In Michigan, where Biden eventually won by 148,152 votes, a difference of 2.6 percentage points, a much higher ratio than Donald Trump’s four years ago, Republican members of the Detroit Election Commission gave up their tough resistance ahead of date. limit. Outcome.
Could not steal
The so-called most populous Democratic citadel city in the state, typically black-populated, which included the Wayne County Elections Commission, had a standoff before it. In the four-member panel, both parties had two representatives each and Republicans declined to authenticate the result. In this county, Biden won 32,229 more votes than Trump, meaning that if they had managed to prevent the result from being authenticated, it would have been here that the Republicans would have stolen the election, citing Trump’s accusations against the Democrats. Trump, when it was even claimed that the result would not be authenticated due to Republican resistance, had already begun to organize for the Republican state legislature to name electorates that apparently supported Trump.
But two Republican members of the Wayne County Elections Commission finally submitted their waists. In exchange for the promise that the Democratic governor of the state will order a full scrutiny of the votes after the vote, they have contributed to the authentication of the final result in Detroit and, therefore, ultimately, in Michigan. The state’s top Democratic election official, Jocelyn Benson, responded to the news saying that “the truth seems to have won this situation.” To which he added that “the evidence is clear: there were no irregularities, there was no widespread electoral fraud, at most minor transcription errors.” But because Biden won by nearly 150,000 votes, the result could not be changed even with a full recount, because historical experience shows that retellings often affect the fate of a few hundred votes. On average, 430.
Still, Trump’s fate would not be affected at all if the outcome changed in Michigan. Based on the final result, which has yet to be verified, Joe Biden eventually won 306 voters, while the support of 270 voters is enough to win. In other words, Trump should reverse the bottom line not in one, but at least three states, but he has no realistic chance of doing so, even in those where he has suffered the strongest defeat. Biden in Arizona (11 elective votes) 10,457; In Georgia (16 electoral votes) 14028; In Wisconsin (10 elective votes) 20565; In Nevada (6 electoral votes) 33596; In Pennsylvania (20 electoral votes), he got 82,093 votes, meaning that Trump had virtually no chance of changing those results.
Doesn’t work well anywhere else
Especially in Nevada, for example, they have failed several lawsuits demanding that vote counting be stopped in Las Vegas because they could not prove their abuse allegations. Here, anyway, they wanted the state to delegate Trump’s electoral supporters to the electoral college, ignoring the electoral result. They also failed in Pennsylvania, where they were unable to prove from multiple runs that their observers could not have been present at the vote count.
The situation is perhaps more marked by the latest Pennsylvania decision. In a speech to the state Supreme Court, Rudy Giuliani, Trump’s number one lawyer and agitator, spoke for the first time of “widespread fraud nationwide” before admitting he was not charging anyone with fraud “literally.”
The Washington Post writes, citing Trumpist sources requesting anonymity, that Giuliani has already convinced Trump that he has a good chance of destroying the results against his own campaign evaluation anyway. Meanwhile, crew members are increasingly inclined that Trump’s allegations are backed by little evidence, and there is a growing feeling that the entire duke is “ending up fast and ugly.”
Trump’s persistent denial has very practical consequences anyway. Normally, by now, the losing candidate should have admitted defeat. While this is not a legal requirement, now that the reigning president has been defeated, it would need to be recognized to begin the handover process. Still, this is a very tense job, and any delay would cause serious damage: Biden’s staff would have to find about 4,000 new people for government positions by the time the government changes on January 20. However, his projection cannot begin until his victory is official.
Trollkodás
Biden still does not have access to daily intelligence reports, and Trump even specifically prohibited his rival from being informed of the latest epidemiological plans amid a devastating epidemic, such as plans to distribute vaccines that will soon be available in principle. Not to mention things so small that Biden’s team can’t use government resources either: they don’t get funding for the tasks that need to be done, just as they don’t have offices where they can get them done.
Meanwhile, Trump’s stubborn perseverance on his own accusations of incompetence is making life bitter not only for Biden and the Democrats, but also for the Republicans. In Georgia, the election was so intense that the two senatorial elections held exceptionally in parallel in the state also had to be repeated because neither candidate won an absolute majority of the votes, which is a condition for victory under local rules. In a statement, the two Republican senatorial candidates Trump called in a statement for the resignation of an otherwise Republican election official, citing accusations of fraud by the president. With this, he managed to ignite serious internal debates in his own party with less than two months to go until the repeated senatorial elections, in which he can decide whether the Republicans will maintain their majority in the Senate. This is a pretty serious gamble, though: If they keep it, they’ll essentially be able to cross over to President Biden there and then whenever they want. If, on the other hand, they fail, Biden could run for him during the first two years of his presidency with his party in the majority in both houses of the legislature, meaning he can carry out even his most ambitious plans.
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