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According to a WSJ / NBC poll on Sunday, Joe Biden leads with 52% -42% of registered voters. An article in the Wall Street Journal recalls that the ratios haven’t changed much, with the Democratic Party challenger leading the way by 11 percentage points in mid-October. According to a recent poll, women and the elderly in particular have turned against the current president. Both groups support Bident most strongly by double-digit differences.
However, the survey also shows that the competition will intensify if we narrow the field down to the 12 battlefield states. Joe Biden leads 51-45% here, compared to the 10 percentage point lead seen in October.
In undecided states, Biden’s advantage is within the margin of error, suggesting that the competition will be extremely close and it is also possible that Trump will win a majority in the Electoral College despite getting fewer votes nationwide than Biden. (as in 2016 Hillary Against Clinton).
The current president has great support in these states, mainly among the working class and among white voters. Meanwhile, Joe Biden has strong support among those who voted early or planned, while Trump enjoys strong support among those who voted on Election Day.
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