Trump may have resolved a conflict that has lasted more than 100 years



[ad_1]

Most of the content in the portfolio is available for free, as is this article.

However, the situation in the media market is constantly changing: if you want to support quality business journalism and want to be part of the Portfolio community, subscribe to Portfolio Signature articles. Know more

Centuries of conflict could end

Israel has been boycotted by most Arab countries since 1948, Bahrain and the Emirates are only the third and fourth Arab countries, respectively, to acknowledge the existence of Israel at all.. So far, only Egypt and Jordan have recognized Israel among the Arab countries, and all other states have maintained relations with Palestine.

The current deal, according to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu

It could even end the Arab-Israeli conflict forever.

the Arab-Jewish relationship and the XIX. century began to get angry with the advent of Zionism and Arab nationalism, but Israel has really sharpened since its inception, which was followed by concrete warfare between the newly formed Middle Eastern country and its Arab opponents. As soon as the independent state of Israel was proclaimed, a total of seven Arab countries attacked the newborn country., led by Egypt. The result of the 10-month conflict was that Israel took control of the territory designated by the UN as an independent Jewish state in the territory of the former Palestinian mandate, Transdanubia annexed the remainder of the mandate and Egypt occupied the Gaza Strip.

Then there were several more warlike clashes between Israel and the Arab League in the following years, mainly with Israel’s victory, which brought more and more territory under its control in the region.

Fortunately, open wars began to decline for the most part after the turn of the millennium.The armed conflict in Israel was then more with irregular formations; Palestinian Hamas and Lebanese Hezbollah: The latter organization still receives support from Iran and Syria with weapons, money and training.

By the way, Egypt recognized Israel as the first Arab country in 1979 and Jordan in 1994; both countries decided to establish diplomatic relations as part of a peace treaty.

A lot of money will be moved

The current deal is known as the Trump administration’s most important diplomatic achievement to date, which could “reshape the entire Middle East.”

At the moment, the agreement refers only to the official mutual recognition by the interested countries, the construction of embassies in Israel and the dispatch of ambassadors, and soon the launch of flights between the affected countries.

President Trump, for his part, indicated that countries will soon sit down to discuss “technological, health, agricultural and other cooperation.”

It will probably take years for capital and goods to start moving between Israel and the Arab countries in question, but There is significant business potential in cooperation, especially between the United Arab Emirates and Israel, as these two countries are the third and fourth strongest economies in the Middle East.

Donald Trump and leaders signing current deal hope to do so soon other Arab countries will join to a settlement that ends the decade-long conflict; Saudi Arabia has great potential in this area. The Emirates and Bahrain are also longtime allies of the Saudis, and the largest Arab economy is said to already be negotiating with the United States and Israel. In addition to the Saudis, four more Arab countries can join the long-term agreement.

The Palestinians are calling on participating countries not to join in recognizing Israel until the Israeli-Palestinian situation is resolved and Israel fully withdraws from the Gaza Strip and the West Bank. Palestinian leaders are rightly concerned: if the former Arab countries that supported them back down, there is little chance that a solution to their situation will be found that is in line with their current views. Of course, Arab countries may also use improved Arab-Israeli relations to push for a Palestinian-friendly solution through diplomatic channels, but this is sadly a less realistic scenario.

Iran is even more isolated

The fact that Sunni countries reconcile with Israel in turn only makes Shiite Iran even more isolated. The country, which has been plagued by US sanctions, has had a cold relationship with the Sunni countries of the region since the 1979 revolution, and in the Iran-Iraq war of 1980 to 1988 with the Saudis and Kuwait, two countries that soon they could be reconciled with Israel. He also directly supported the invasion of Iraq. And the Emirates and Bahrain maintain close political, economic and military cooperation with the United States, one of Israel’s main allies.

Engagement with Israel, like that of the Palestinians, has been called it the betrayal of the Muslim world, He even indirectly threatened the affected countries that “only they will be responsible for everything that happens to them.”

“The residents of some countries in the region are deeply religious Muslims, but their leaders do not understand the religion or their debt to the Palestinian nation, which are their brothers and sisters who also speak the same language,” Rohani said on Iranian public television. .

The Iranian-backed Hezbollah leadership in Lebanon has reacted even more strongly: The Arab world was asked for the armed resistance to call on “Palestine and al-Kudist [Jeruzsálem arab neve] published. “

In the long run There is also a realistic possibility that Israeli forces will gain access to military bases in the Emirates or Bahrain., allowing them to conduct air strikes in Iran, for example, without having to fly over Syria, Jordan, Iraq or Turkey.

Rohani himself is openly concerned about the possibility of this:

How could you help Israel out? And do you even want to give them your bases in the region? You alone will be responsible for all serious consequences resulting from this

Said the first man of Iran.

Israel is not a member of NATO anyway, so it can strike targets in the region more flexibly, such as the United States. In Syria, Israeli planes regularly carry out attacks against bases, combat vehicles, air defense positions linked to Iran; It cannot be ruled out that its teeth also damage Iran’s nuclear facilities. It could easily be supported in such military action by members of the region who do not belong to NATO, but by armies representing a significant force such as the United Arab Emirates.

Israel has long been a significant and vocal opponent of Iran’s nuclear project, as if the Shiite state develops a nuclear weapon, it will almost certainly be used to threaten, blackmail, or, in extreme cases, even attack Israel.

In return, Iran is not only isolating itself politically, it is also likely to become militarily vulnerable to the deal that has been reached.



[ad_2]