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Gergely Röst, professor of mathematics at the University of Szeged, head of the mathematics team of epidemiology, shared with us the heat map produced by the group, which sheds great light on the fundamental difference between the first and second waves of the domestic epidemic. The heat map below may be familiar to many, as Portfolio has already published a detailed description of Florida’s epidemiological processes. heat maps for the US state, which showed how the virus, which initially spreads among young people, gradually spreads to an older and more vulnerable age group.
It can also be read from the image posted on the Facebook page of the national coronavirus investigation that the COVID-19 epidemic in Hungary in the spring mainly affected the older age group, partly because schools and universities were closed. The second wave, instead, began to spread among the younger generations with many contacts. “As early as August, the Epidemiological Analysis and Epidemiological Modeling Working Group drew attention to the fact that one of the main risks of increasing prevalence among young people is that the virus will spread to other age groups over time. . a notable example is Florida, but similar processes are taking place in Spain and France, among others can be read in the team’s explanation of the image, that the researchers ask
Is this the case also in Hungary? Unfortunately, the answer is yes, as the accompanying heat map spectacularly shows.
The significant difference between the first and second waves can also be clearly seen in the figure based on data from the National Center for Public Health.
Cover image source: MTI / AP / Petr David Josek
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