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For a long time there has been a similar advance between Israel and the Arab countries. The peace treaties with Egypt and Jordan have been in place for decades and, although sometimes upset and nervous, they are working properly. Now, 26 years later, a Gulf state bordering Iran has been added to the friends list. The development of the agreement will make it very difficult for Iran to maintain its position in the Middle East. The people of the Emirates received the agreement with a surprising unit, challenging a strong camp friendly to Tehran in the country. Such a video could not have been made even 5 years ago. The tripartite pact (US, Israel, Emirates) came at the worst possible time for Tehran. First, American sanctions devastated Iran’s economy, and then an American drone killed Iran’s number one military leader, General Suleiman, commander-in-chief of the Islamic Republican Guard, whose loss could not be adequately compensated since then.
For months, Israel has been attacking Iranian targets and personnel in Syria at will. Furthermore, Israeli intelligence moves in and out of major Iranian facilities without interruption.
Although denied and repressed, Iran’s internal society is also disturbed. Especially young people who already own the Internet know much more about the world than rigidly religious old people. Since 2017, there have been a series of large-scale demonstrations to overthrow the regime, and the massacre of some 1,000 people was “necessary” to crush the uprising last November.
For many other reasons, but the situation is similar in Lebanon, where the population is increasingly throbbing with Shiite parliamentary speaker Nabih Berri, who previously led the anti-Tehran terrorist organization Amal, and with Iran’s outstretched fist, Hezbollah se decide openly on the power of the country. organs and economy. The Beirut disaster gave new impetus to this massive discontent in the former Levant.
As the Emirates now vehemently reject the Islamic Republic, they fully agree with the slogans of the Iranian protesters. “We say no to Gaza, we say no to Lebanon, and we give our lives only for Iran.” As the Emirates have broken the taboo of linking their national interests with the Middle East’s most advanced economy and technology and of course its military strength, the Iranians may realize that
rather, this is the right path, rather than distant adventures like the liberation of Jerusalem, or the destruction of Israel, or the support of a mass murderous tyrant in Damascus.
Many Iranians may now be surprised that the republic’s hyper-aggressive policy is diverting old enemies and its ability to act together against the terror of the Ayatollahs. the “Divide and conquer!” politics seems to be over.
Ali Motahari, a former Iranian MP, tweeted that “We scared the Arabs and pushed them towards Israel.” thereby pointing out that Islam alone is not a sufficient binding force between Persians and Arabs, especially since the smaller trend wants to impose its power over the other much larger religious bloc.
“We are in a situation where neighboring Arab countries are turning to Israel instead of facing Iran.”
It is increasingly recognized that the imperialist policy of the Islamic Republic is a complete failure and has an impact that isolates them, impoverishes them and makes them insecure.
The situation is likely to get worse. More Arab states may be preparing to jump on the normalization bandwagon in the near future. Foreign Minister Jared Kushner and Mike Pompeo are striking the iron while it’s hot and encouraging others from Bahrain, Oman and Sudan to engage with Israel.
The true story is happening before our eyes, at an astonishing rate
It is in the fundamental interest of the United States that the Emirates are not just a one-time event, but only the trigger for a wave of normalization. This would transform the entire economic and military structure of the Middle East. For a long time there has been no attempt to export democracy and force it on these peoples, as this attempt has failed everywhere (Iraq, Libya, Egypt). But to create a stable and peaceful area in which economic profit, trade and common peacekeeping are the goal, because they can wait for the UN until the sun.
A new force structure is also the best possible tool to defeat extremist Islam, terrorism and the aspirations of the caliphate. This includes not only financial tools, but also military and intelligence tools. After all, extreme trends are suffered by all concerned, and it is clear that Iran primarily drives and finances them.
Security needs are reinforced by the fact that the Emirates could be a real gold mine for Mossad. The country employs hundreds of thousands of Iranian guest workers who come and go between the two states and can multiply the information available in the field.
The military consequences for Iran could be even more serious. For example, because the UAE will get the US F-35 stealth fighter bombers (Israel already has them), which will dramatically increase its target of attack against Iranian targets. But there is also the fact that the new flight path has been shortened from seven hours to three. The deal has the potential to dramatically reduce the time and space challenges that have been crippling Israeli contingency plans against Iran for years.
If Israeli planes could also use air bases in the emirates, it would dramatically increase the chances of air strikes against Iran’s nuclear program, if necessary.
Of course, the Iranian regime threatens to retaliate. Religious leader Ali Hameni called the convention a betrayal of Islam and threatened retaliation. “It will not last long ” phraseology.
On the day of the historic “Monday flight,” there have already been two deadly explosions at restaurants in Abu Dhabi and Dubai, and that’s hard to blame for the coincidences. The threats are really scary and tough. Yet the United States and its allies in the region, together and working together, are strong enough to address the risks and preserve the peace process.
Cover image: Reuters Photographer: Nir Elias
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