Table of Contents – Foreign – Can Biden Trump Get Out of War?



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One of Iran’s top nuclear scientists, Mohsen Farizade, died in his car last Friday. A senior US government official said Israel was behind the liquidation of Mossad, a longtime nuclear scientist in the Israeli intelligence service. Observers said Washington may have known about the operation, last week Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, accompanied by the Mossad leader, held talks in Saudi Arabia with the crown prince of the oil monarchy and the Secretary of State for States. United, Mike Pompeo.

The assassination is forcing Iranian leaders to respond, but in a way that is not escalating. Clear liquidation message from Farizade:

neither nuclear scientists nor members of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard are safe from Washington and its allies.

On the court against Iran

Following the assassination of the nuclear scientist, Tehran’s legislature approved an increase in uranium enrichment if Western sanctions on the Persian state’s economy are not relaxed within two months.

The deadline is no accident: Biden was scheduled to take office so that he could relax from US sanctions from his first job.

This is a kind of signal to the DEMOCRATIC president-elect: he is willing to sit at the negotiating table under his burden, but Washington must take the first step.

The Trump administration, on the other hand, is shaping Iran’s policy in a way that makes it unacceptable for Biden to renegotiate the 2015 international nuclear deal. The deal was unilaterally denounced in 2018 by current US President Donald Trump.

Even if Iran enforces legislation passed the other day that would allow an increase in uranium enrichment and ban International Atomic Energy Agency inspectors from its nuclear facilities, the Biden administration could not afford peaceful gestures.

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, for example, is working to toughen economic sanctions against Iran before Trump’s term ends. Meanwhile, the White House is determined to force a $ 23 billion arms deal with the United Arab Emirates to make peace with Israel this year. This would significantly increase the United States’ ability to measure attacks in the Middle East, especially since the emirates are located on the opposite side of the Iranian coast from the Persian Gulf. If Israeli planes could also use Emirates airports, the threat from Iran would increase even more.

Uniform front and stability

Trump’s son-in-law, presidential adviser Jared Kushner, traveled to Saudi Arabia and Qatar to try to smooth over the differences between the two countries. If successful, the outgoing US president can say for himself that he will leave a stable situation in the Middle East, forming a united front against Tehran with Israel, the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia.

No country would welcome Biden’s attempt to undermine this alliance by entering into negotiations with Iran.

Why would this be necessary?

  • The alliance has an attack measurement capability against Iran’s nuclear facilities that appears to be gaining traction.
  • Economic sanctions have sunk Iran’s economy.
  • One of Iran’s top nuclear scientists has been killed.
  • Several Middle Eastern countries have united against Tehran under the auspices of Washington.

The Trump administration does not want to start a war with Iran just to hurt Biden. Instead, it would concretize its Middle East foreign policy, Trump’s foreign policy legacy, that is, forcing and isolating Iran on its knees.

This line of action would put Bident in a better negotiating position vis-a-vis Tehran cornered in some way, but it would also tie his hand. If he enters negotiations, his allies could fall back behind him, and if they push Iran further, they could force Tehran to take a step that could lead to war.

(Cover Image: Protesters burn photo of Donald Trump and Joe Biden For the death of Mohsen Farizade on November 28, 2020. Photo: Majid Asgaripour / WANA / Reuters)



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