One of the toughest wars of our time is over: spirits are released, the masses flee



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The war is over, probably only temporarily

Last week the six-week armed conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia officially ended. The reconciliation process was coordinated by Russia, and the ceasefire agreement was signed by the President of Azerbaijan, Ilham Aliyev, and the Prime Minister of Armenia, Nikol Pasinyan, in addition to the President of Russia, Vladimir Putin.

The contract came into effect on Tuesday, the parties agreed that

Armenia is permanently returning control of a significant part of the Nagorno-Karabakh region to Azerbaijan, including areas not occupied by Azerbaijani soldiers in the current conflict.

As interpreted by experts, this essentially means that

the conflict ended with the Armenian poem and the victory of Azerbaijan.

The agreement, of course, also covers the Armenian government of Nagorno-Karabakh, which interprets itself as an autonomous territory.

The Armenian BMP-2 will be withdrawn from the conflict zone the day after the ceasefire. Photo: Getty Images

In addition to the transfer of territory, prisoners of war are also sent home, and compliance with the treaty and the peace process. will be supervised by Russian peacekeepers. Russia has a total of 1,950 peacekeepers and 470 military vehicles in the region.

By the way, the ceasefire agreement still does not resolve the disputes over the affiliation of the Nagorno-Karabakh region: Although Armenia now officially recognizes part of the region as Azerbaijani territory, most international actors, including Azeris, register the whole of Nagorno-Karabakh as part of Azerbaijan. So it is easy that in 5 years, when the withdrawal of the peacekeepers is expected at the earliest, the conflict will intensify again.

Spirits break free, people flee

International parties to the conflict welcomed the agreement, but the Armenians did not. Although Prime Minister Pasinyan did not acknowledge that Armenia had defeated Armenia, The people of Azerbaijan held a victory ceremony, while the Armenians held a massive demonstration.

Soldiers demonstrating together with the population in the Armenian capital. Photo: Getty Images

Just minutes after the signing of the ceasefire agreement, thousands marched through the streets of Yerevan. The protesters also stormed the parliament, smashed the Chamber and beat government spokesman Ararat Mizarjan..

Over the weekend, Armenia’s internal security forces even blocked an assassination attempt on the Prime Minister,

allegedly organized by former government officials and opposition politicians who wanted to seize power from Pasinjan.

In the ceasefire agreement though those most affected were those who lived in the transferred territories as Armenians.

About 99% of the territories officially returned to Azerbaijan are inhabited by Armenians.

Although the contract does not oblige the population to leave the area, it does thousands evacuated their homes and left for Armenia. Most took everything that could be moved, in fact, it is said that he dug up and took the terrestrial remains of his relatives. The population is fleeing mainly because He fears that the Azerbaijani soldiers returning after 30 years will behave brutally towards the local population and will be forced to flee anyway.

Most of the fleeing Armenians set their abandoned house on fire and destroyed everything they knew about the infrastructure to avoid falling into the hands of the Azeris.

With their masses, the Armenians flee the territories to be handed over to Azerbaijan, most of them setting fire to the houses they left behind, as can be seen in the buildings in the background. Photo: Getty Images

The Azerbaijani government simply called the fleeing civilians “eco-terrorists” and declared that their stay in the region was illegal from the beginning, since Azeris legitimately belong to the area.

Unfortunately, they hardly say that a ceasefire means a secure and lasting peace. then, between the two countries, in many ways, the solution was rather flogged. It is conceivable that, as Azerbaijan did 30 years ago, Armenia is now crying out for revenge.

The Azeri victory is instructive for everyone

From the beginning, an Azeri victory was expected as Azerbaijan deployed a significantly larger and better equipped army against ArmeniaNot to mention that the Turks, the second largest military power in NATO, also directly and indirectly supported the “Muslim Brotherhood.”

According to official Armenian figures, 2,317 soldiers died in the conflict, almost 1,000 more than previously known. Azerbaijan did not publish such a number, only 93 civilian deaths were recognized.

From this it can be concluded that Azerbaijan is likely to have lost significantly more troops in the conflict.However, like Armenia, it is important to note that its active military personnel is also almost three times that of Armenians.

Armenian T-72 after ceasefire went into effect, alongside Stepanakert. Fierce fighting raged around the de facto capital of Nagorno-Karabakh, even just before the ceasefire. Photo: Getty Images

War anyway provides very important lessons from a military and strategic point of view, as well as for other countries. Azerbaijan used a large number of Israeli and Turkish-made drones to liquidate Armenian targets, thus neutralizing dozens, if not hundreds, of Azeri combat vehicles. They also bragged about the recordings on the Internet.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YJ84Z4p87mg

The conflict made it clear that for a country to defend itself against unexpected foreign aggression, it must have adequate drone defense capabilities.

The Armenian defeat also shows that Conventional air defense devices do not provide adequate protection against such a threat.. Not surprisingly, seeing conflict accelerates the development of drone protection technologies in many countries, as this area is still in its infancy around the world.

Top image: Azerbaijani soldier in front of a fired Armenian Ural truck. Photo: Getty Images



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