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The second wave of the coronavirus epidemic currently affecting Europe is not the final one, and several successive waves are expected by late winter and next spring, a scientific council attached to the French government said on Monday.
It is difficult to predict how long the second wave will last, because it depends on the virus itself, the climatic conditions and the measures taken to slow the spread of the virus, and its social acceptance, that is, its impact.
– wrote in their last opinion dated October 26, experts assisting French decision-makers, two days before the Defense Council convened by the Head of State Emmanuel Macron decided to introduce a general abandonment ban.
We are facing difficult months in an extremely difficult situation
– He stated in an opinion published Monday by the Scientific Council, which assumes the end of the second wave at the end of the year or the beginning of the next. The panel recommends that by this date, the current daily number of 40 to 50 thousand cases be limited to a maximum of 5 to 8 thousand and that the spread of the virus be strictly controlled.
However, experts believe that whatever measures the government takes, “they will not be enough to prevent new waves after the second.”
In its opinion of October 26, the Scientific Council called for a general quarantine, which the government finally did.
There could be several consecutive waves in late winter and spring 2021 depending on different things.
– the experts wrote, highlighting weather conditions and the effectiveness of the government’s strategy.
According to French experts, European governments will face successive waves of the epidemic until the introduction of the first vaccines and antidotes, at which point the scientific council has designated “perhaps the second quarter of 2021”.
Cover image: MTI / Photographer: Tamás Kovács
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