Index – National – Publicus: Opposition support four percent higher than that of ruling parties



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“In recent months, since the symptoms of the economic and social crisis emerged as a result of the epidemic, the confrontation between the government and the opposition municipalities has intensified and the opposition forces have communicated their intention to unite more effectively” . Andras Pulai, director of the Publicus Institute on his Facebook page.

↔️📊 In recent months, since the beginning of the symptoms of the economic and social crisis as a result of the epidemic, the …

Posted by András Pulai – Tuesday, December 15, 2020

The Publicus Institute on behalf of Népszava from November 18 to 21. examined party support in a nationally representative survey conducted by interviewing 1,005 people.

According to the responses of all respondents (“if there was a parliamentary election on Sunday now”):

  • A Fidesz-KDNP It would receive 29 percent, a decrease of one percentage point in support for the ruling parties compared to last month.
  • the MSZP It would receive 7 percent, an increase of one percentage point from last month.
  • A best It would receive 5 percent, a drop of one percentage point from last month.
  • A DK It would receive 9 percent, an increase of one percentage point from last month.
  • A Impulse It would receive 7 percent, one percentage point less than last month.

the LMP, a Dialogue, a Two-tailed dog party and the We are our country Support for the movement was 1-1 percent, there were no substantial changes in their support. The proportion of unsafe people has dropped one percentage point to 36 percent.

For safe partisan voters, the data is modified as follows:

  • support for Fidesz-KDNP is 48 percent,
  • MSZP support is 10 percent,
  • Jobbik’s support is 8 percent,
  • DK support is 13 percent,
  • support for Momentum is 11 percent.

The investigation includes the “Coalition voters” data. This represents 3 percent of all respondents and 5 percent of party commissioners and voters.

“Coalition voters” include those who respond by voting for a single cohesive opposition, not one opposition party at a time.

What is interesting about all the voters interviewed is that

Beyond the margin of error, support for the coalition opposition is 4 percentage points higher than that of the ruling parties.

For confident party voters, within the margin of error, the difference is 2 percent in favor of the opposition in favor (48 versus 50).

According to IDEA and Závecz, the opposition is also preferred

A previous poll conducted by the IDEA Institute between October 31 and November 5 also measured that, within the margin of error, support for the opposition was greater than that of the ruling parties.

According to a recent study by Závecz Research, while Fidesz-KDNP was measured at 36 percent in August, it was only 30 percent among the electorate in December. Among the safe party voters, Fidesz-KDNP is 45 percent, DK 19, Jobbik 10, Momentum 10, MSZP 7, LMP 2, Dialogue 2, Dog Party 3 percent, Our country is 2 percent. For certain party voters, beyond the margin of error, the difference is 5 percent in favor of total opposition to support.



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