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It is surprising that Hungary is already talking about some kind of victory. The Netherlands is currently studying the (German) plan to see clearly what the consequences of the proposal would be.
– Dutch EU diplomat Roy Kenkel told Index that Wednesday’s news said that the German EU presidency had reached a preliminary agreement with Hungary and Poland, who had been vetoing the EU budget for weeks. If this is also adopted by the EU summit, the way will be opened before the adoption of the EU budget for 2021-27 and the post-epidemic recovery fund.
Even at the EU level, there is a lot of money, 1.8 billion euros.
But there were still skeptical countries on Thursday. According to the “main rule”, the EU member states are strict against the governments of Hungary and Poland in proportion to the further we move to the west and north.
Storm around a regulation
Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte still expressed reservations in Brussels on Thursday; guarantees, requests the opinion of the Council’s Legal Service and the retroactive effect of the next Regulation on the Rule of Law.
THIS REGULATION IS THE KEY TO THE ENTIRE AGREEMENT: CAN PEOPLE BE REQUESTED FOR THE EXCHANGE OF EU MONEY IN BUDAPEST AND WARSAW, IN PRINCIPLE, FROM THE MAIN MAIN MAIN MAIN AND IF YES, WHEN? ONLY AFTER THE HUNGARIAN ELECTIONS PLANNED FOR 2022?
The Dutch are among the most outspoken critics, and this morning’s article in the German Die Zeit mentions the Danes and Belgians as still having reservations: they don’t want to dilute the much-mentioned regulation of the rule of law.
EU Justice Commissioner Didier Reynders (Belgium) said on Thursday that the regulation should not be changed.
However, Foreign Minister Péter Szijjártó and Justice Minister Judit Varga already spoke of the victory on Wednesday, and Prime Minister Viktor Orbán also left for Brussels with the words “the winning cards are in our hands.”
In the Index, we also wrote about that engagement plan
- The rule of law mechanism built into the system, which was the reason for the veto between Hungary and Poland, will only be launched if the decisions of a certain Member State harm the financial interests of the EU and cannot be used for political purposes, in other words, in the immigration debate.
- a so-called emergency brake mechanism will consist of presenting the sanctions proposed by the European Commission to the Heads of State and Government,
- The entire rule of law mechanism will be suspended until the Court of Justice of the European Union rules on its compatibility with EU law.
There is also a member of the Polish government who does not like this solution: a lengthy court procedure can help Orbán, you know: even a postponement until the 2022 elections in Hungary, but not necessarily in them.
Therefore, Zbigniew Ziobro, the Polish Minister of Justice, quoted by Politico, would shed the hairy skin of the rule of law.
The “interpretive conclusions” and the “guidelines” are not a law! The law is the ordinance. If the regulation linking the budget to ideology comes into force, it will be a significant limitation of Poland’s sovereignty and a violation of European treaties. We disagre !!! Let’s fight for business 🇵🇱
– Zbigniew Ziobro | SP (@ZiobroPL) December 9, 2020
At the moment, it is not clear what the fate of the regulation will be, no matter how intense the statements are.
Politicians often deal with crises through visual politicization
– said Tamás Lattmann, an international lawyer, who asked:
for the moment, victorian orbán has received a political promise not to introduce the regulation until the european court decides it. but it is a question of its legal value.
According to Lattmann, the situation is now: as of January, the Court of Justice of the European Union will not initiate a council of member states to enforce the regulation and take measures against alleged and real violations against Budapest and Warsaw, revolutionized with money from The EU.
But who goes to court?
If the Hungarian (and Polish) government wants to be very tricky, it doesn’t; after all, they were promised that until the court ruled, the decree could not be used against them. Of course, this can be satisfied by another Member State and a request to the tunics of Luxembourg.
Each procedure before the Court of Justice of the European Communities can last from one and a half to two years, with an expedited procedure lasting only 4-6 months, but rarely ordered. Now there is no indication that this is happening. So if the EU summit approves the preliminary agreement, Viktor Orbán will have at least a year and a half to go.
(Photo of the wine: Viktor Orbán. Photo: MTI / Prime Minister’s Press Office / Benko Vivien Cher)
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