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Klaus H. Richardt also wrote a book on the problems that German energy policy will cause in the long term if we do not rethink energy regulations and ideas. Richardt has now written a long but well-documented article on the German portal tichyseinblick.de, which was reviewed by the automotive market expert Gábor Várkonyi on his blog. The title is already strong:
“The decline of the German car industry is caused by politics.”
Richardt is an engineer who has worked for 38 years in the development, construction, concepts, sale, realization, acquisition, commissioning and modernization of hydroelectric and thermal power plants (nuclear, coal, oil, waste, gas, combi and solar), so the power is at home. territory.
According to the basic premise of the article
IN GERMANY, THE STATE AUTHORITIES WILL WISH TO SUPPLY ELECTRIC CARS TO THE MARKET AND, IF POSSIBLE, SUPPLY INTERNAL COMBUSTION AUTOMOBILES.
According to Richardt, the consequence of this will be the destruction of a key sector for the German economy.
in Germany
- 5.75 million cars were produced in 2016,
- In 2019, that number was just 4.66 million cars,
which is an 18.5 percent decrease, the effect of a coronavirus epidemic is not even there. Richardt estimates that if the workforce continues to decline at this rate, and assuming that half of the employees in the industry are employed independently of the workforce and the other half moves with the change in workforce, we can expect to lose 140,000 jobs in 2021, in any case, companies survive. The expert adds that this reduction will only come into force later, since the “Kurzarbeitgeld”, that is, the state contribution to wages, will be paid until the elections, even if production does not increase.
If, in fact, the production of internal combustion cars were completely phased out and only battery electric cars arrived, there would be no need for workers in areas such as engines, gearboxes, fuel systems, cooling systems or even fuel systems. escape. Instead, they will produce batteries and electric motors at most, but this market is limited and requires significantly fewer companies, parts and workers:
- an electric drive chain consists of 100-200 pieces,
- an otto or diesel engine consists of 1200-2000 parts.
According to Handelsblatt data from a year ago, the total number of employees currently working directly or indirectly in engine production in Germany is 620,000.
So many people won’t have a job if they don’t maintain internal combustion engines
Project Richard, who explains in detail in his article how we got here.
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