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“We were expecting more patients, but we were surprised by the high death rate,” the chief epidemiologist at the Swedish Public Health Authority told Business Investor. However, according to Anders Tegnell, it is not possible to say how many deaths can be attributed to Sweden, unlike most countries in the world, which treat the virus without substantial exit restrictions.
At first glance, the data suggests a correlation: in Sweden, of 10 million, the number of deaths is 3,225, while in Norway, Denmark and Finland, of a total of 15 million inhabitants, only 1,015 have died from the infection .
Thus, there are 67 deaths per million inhabitants in the three countries, compared to five times more than in Sweden.
Tegnell said he managed to keep the virus far from nursing homes far less than expected: half of the deaths occur in these institutions.
“I’m not saying we are successful in every way. We are concerned about the high death rate,” he said, adding that it was still rational to focus on restricting people’s self-containment at social distance rather than formal exit restrictions.
But did you understand?
From an epidemiological point of view, although the restriction (or even the prohibition) of access is the most effective, it has a high economic cost. That is why a balance must be struck between the two aspects, which is why a cautious restart has begun in several countries.
Sweden is, in principle, in a better position, as life has not stopped as much as elsewhere, schools have not stopped and restaurants have been able to operate.
However, this does not mean that economic damage has been avoided: Sweden expects GDP to drop by 6-10% in 2020, unemployment to rise to 10.4%, despite March, the month from the start of exit restrictions in Europe, it was much more favorable. than in other places
“It is too early to judge whether we did better. We believe Sweden will end up being more or less the same as the other countries,” the former deputy head of the Swedish central bank told the Financial Times. Christina Nyman, who is Handelsbank’s chief economist after the Riksbank, hinted that the local omission of the short is of little value if the outside world almost goes out anyway. China’s Chinese-owned domestic passenger car and truck plants have also been shut down several times as the equipment needed to operate has not arrived.
The same was true of the 2008 crisis, which directly affected Sweden less, but its export-oriented economy still suffered, but Nyman said it was more favorable to avoid a complete shutdown.
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