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It took away his biggest career opportunity, but at first it looked like his campaign was going to be an ugly failure. Then the black voters came and everything changed.
Donald trump It was 220 days past 70 years on January 20, 2017, so … Ronald reagant preceded: became the oldest sitting US president. Challenger, Democrat Joe biden However, he will turn 78 in November this year, so if he wins he will be the oldest president of all time when he opens next January; because Reagan, the top leader so far, left the White House in 1989 at the age of 77 and 349 days.
How it became Hillary clinton after his unexpected defeat four years ago, the Democratic Party presidential candidate Biden, when many of the former first lady’s failures read the need to renew the party? In part, since Biden didn’t even announce his departure, survey data has already shown that he would have the best chance of winning. However, his path to the presidency was not an easy process for a veteran politician who proclaimed peace rather than great change.
The battle of great hopes old and new
At the end of April 2019, Biden was among the last to announce his entry to the Democratic pre-election, where by then twenty politicians had competed for the opportunity to compete on November 3, 2020 in the Republican. Trumppal.
Polls immediately showed Biden’s advantage, but many attributed it only to the fact that he began his career as a senator in the early 1970s and later. Barack Obama the name of the politician serving as vice president is known to all. At the same time, the popularity of young progressives in the Democratic Party, who had become increasingly influential in recent years, was incomprehensible to Biden, who seemed inseparable, standing in a field full of young women with high hopes and high hopes. Black candidates, Trump’s opposites. And of course it was there Bernie sanders, the great old man on the left, who attracted a crowd of enthusiastic young people with his Social Democratic program.
Biden did not focus ideologically on his campaign focus, but on who has the best chance of defeating Trump. And his main argument was that he was a moderate middle-class politician because he could address the white working-class voters who had helped the Republican president come to power four years ago.
Spending much of his life in Washington’s political machine, Biden promised not revolution but peace, not new times, but a return to “normalcy,” while progressive activists in the Democratic Left Party failed to emphasize that his voters wanted quite the opposite.
However, despite being attacked by Bident being attacked for his past decisions and statements, the veteran politician remained at the forefront despite his not so strong campaign. Although there were weeks when an opponent was like Elizabeth warren Senator or young mayor of the small town of South Bend, Indiana, Pete buttigieg was able to outperform in polls, early 2020 Biden still looked the most likely.
Then the pre-election began and Biden seemed to be done.
The fall
The first ballot took place in early February in Iowa, where Biden was expected to underperform. However, the end result did not meet all expectations. The former vice president finished only fourth in the chaotic pre-election, which Buttigieg and Sanders won in a nearly tied victory over Warren.
Then came New Hampshire, which Sanders won by Buttigieg and a surprise third Amy klobuchar in front of a senator. Biden was only fifth with just over 8 percent of the vote. The former vice president was described almost entirely at the time, while Sanders’ supporters, a year older than Biden, were already preparing for the final victory. The big field was expected to divide moderate voters, and on Super Tuesday, when elections are held in 14 states at once, the icon of the progressive will gain such an advantage that his rivals will not be able to enter.
Black voters saved Bident
That’s when the shortlist from South Carolina arrived. The first southern state to hold a pre-election and the first to have a high turnout of black voters, among whom Obama’s former vice president has always been very popular.
But the billionaire, who also targets black voters For Michael Bloomberg he managed to wrest some of the black voters from him, and Biden, who made the preselection of South Carolina with three big losses, looked worse and worse. Furthermore, he not only had to win, but he needed a victory so high that no one doubted that he had a place in the race.
It worked, and Biden beat Sanders with ease, thanks in large part to the strong support of local black politicians – he got nearly half the vote, while the Vermont senator was barely 20 percent elected. This convincing performance brought an earthquake-like change to the race.
The victory gave a huge boost to their campaign, which was only reinforced by the fact that Buttigieg and Klobuchar, who were equally moderate, withdrew from the competition. Who immediately got behind Biden with the clear goal of stopping Sanders. Thus, he remained essentially the only candidate for Tuesday’s dinner, held by a middle-aged voter who considered Sanders’ Social Democratic views too radical.
Super win
The March 3 pre-election finally made it clear that Sanders could not count on the support of the majority of Democratic voters. In ten of the 14 states, Biden won, and just days after many were preparing to write his political obituary, he took the lead in the race for the presidential nomination, which became two actors after leaving third place, Warren. and the $ 500 million leader in his own state. Bloomberg, which has shown almost no results with its campaign.
And while a long battle seemed to begin between Sanders and Biden’s momentum, the coronavirus epidemic changed everything.
Preselection in the shadow of the epidemic
The virus had already begun to distract Democrats from the Super Tuesday pre-election, and within weeks the competition that had dominated the news until then had almost completely disappeared from the spotlight. In March, Biden scored several large-scale victories, and while a neglected debate between the two candidates still took place on March 15, it was clear that the Democratic pre-election campaign was over.
Towards the end of March, more and more states announced that the previously scheduled elections would be postponed due to the epidemic, and the Sanders also assessed: The Vermont senator has no chance of winning.
Sanders finally announced on April 7 that he would suspend his campaign, and a few days later made it official that he would support Bident in the presidential race. He encouraged his enthusiastic fan base to do the same, stating that the most important thing was defeating Donald Trump, who was fighting for his re-election, whom Sanders described as the most dangerous American president of modern times.
The only question now is whether Biden, who proclaims the slogan of “quiet power,” will keep his promise, and Republicans disillusioned with Trump, more conservative Democrats, older voters, women, blacks and independents (not as a supporter of neither party). by defeating Donald Trump in Tuesday’s presidential election. The survey data predicts this, but after 2016, we can no longer be sure of anything.
Featured image: Jim Watson / AFP
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