Here is the explanation why Hungary was excluded with the other Visegrad countries despite the total closure of the border



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The first and perhaps the most important reason the strategic alliance, in view of which yesterday’s conference in bleeding accepted the Czech Prime Minister’s request to Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán to allow Czechs who had already booked their trip to Hungary for September to still arrive. So optically it would obviously have looked bad if Hungary had only been the Czechs so this discount was quickly extended to the Slovaks and Poles as well. At the Bled conference, Prime Minister Viktor Orbán said these, and Péter Szijjártó, Minister of Foreign Affairs and Foreign Relations, said these.

The other important reason It is possible that the Czech Republic, Poland and Slovakia had the lowest number of (one) cases of coronavirus infection in the last week on Monday, and that “importation” from abroad accounted for only a small part of the spread of the epidemic. in Hungary, according to the epidemiologist. His great portfolio interview yesterday revealed. Therefore, it can be argued that even with the outbreak, mainly in the Czechs and the gradual spread in the Poles, there is no danger that the spread of the infection in Hungary could be significantly accelerated by the arrival of tourists from three foreign countries ( with a negative test result).

The third reason however, it may have been that the usual weekend effect may play a role in these favorable Monday numbers, meaning that less testing is generally done in labs on weekends, thus it is found that fewer people are infected.

At the number level, everything looks like this:

  • One of the lowest infection rates in the past week has been reported by Czech authorities on Monday (251 people), but in the previous days the numbers ranged between 300 and 600, so in the following figure our 7-day moving average shows an upward trend in the curve of the Czech epidemic
  • In Poland the same situation: the lowest number of infectious cases in the last week was announced by the authorities during the last 24 hours on Monday at noon (502 people), in the previous days the number of cases fluctuated between 550-900 in a country with four times the Hungarian population, so it’s not even visible here. On a 7-day moving average, the trend is downward, quite stagnant.
  • In Slovakia the situation is much the same: there were 41 new infections reported there on Monday, before which there were also just over 100 cases, so our 7-day moving average is stagnant.

Therefore, let’s look at the epidemic curve of the Visegrad (+ Bulgaria) countries and the other neighboring countries in the second figure, within which Hungarians and foreign nationals can move within a 30 km band from the border. As you can see: the most disturbing is the curve of Ukraine, which is constantly increasing.

All the important news of the border blockade that took effect today:

Cover image source: MTI / György Varga



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