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The weakness of the opposition parties will push them towards the common list before the 2022 parliamentary elections, and with the exception of the DK and the Momentum, their existence will be at stake, Gábor Török said in his InfoRádió Arena.
As for the lucky elections, Gábor Török believes that Geregely Christmas could not have been excluded from the campaign, despite the fact that the joint opposition candidate had previously made anti-Semitic statements.
The opposition has a great goal, the success of the 2022 elections, for which they have chosen a strategy for themselves. And that says that the opposition parties are trying to minimize conflicts between them and insist on cooperation, says the political scientist.
The successful election showed that even in the case of a highly contested candidate, voters are willing to put aside their complaints, reservations and problems of taste. The opposition candidate has now garnered roughly the same level of support as the opposition as a whole in this area in elections in recent years.
I suppose that if the opposition had managed to maintain the pre-election and choose a more suitable candidate who gives less surface to attack, it could have been better represented. Another lesson for the opposition is that candidates are not worth selecting in their hasty partisan negotiations, but they are worth examining them in a broader pre-selection process and exploring their areas of attack in an infighting.
– Appoint the Infostart specialist.
DK and Momentum are the two strongest opposition parties
According to the Turks, neither the DK nor the Momentum achieved such a significant increase in votes that neither of them would be the leading opposition force. The opposition has been in a very strange position for about ten years, because there are several among each of the actors who claim to be the leading force in the opposition, but really no one is visible in this position now.
Regarding the pre-electoral elections, he said that there are not many districts in which the opposition won in 2018, but obviously in these places it is necessary to question very strongly whether it is worth carrying out a pre-election. At the same time, in 2018 it was not the two strongest parties that took the majority of the opposition seats, but the Hungarian Socialist Party. If full members can be added to the common roster of candidates early on, it will favor the MSZP, which will have to be compensated elsewhere, he added. Here is the danger if the opposition entrusts everything to the electorate, because what if there is a pre-election in the 106 seats and the LMP, Diálogo, Jobbik cannot succeed a candidate anywhere, then they will not have a parliamentary mandate, only of the list?
Who will be the candidate for prime minister?
According to Turks, if Christmas starts, he will surely win the shortlist. If it does not start, it is an open process that is of no value to opposition parties.
Christmas is likely to be accepted by all parties as a joint prime minister candidate, Turkey said.
Disappearing parts
According to the political scientist, the MSZP is gradually losing its meaning, and this was not broken with the presidential election. At the same time, socialists occupy many important positions and are important players in cooperation.
The MSZP could be further saved by a joint electoral success of the opposition, because now it could reach an agreement to be an influential player in cooperation after 2022. If the opposition does not win, only the last days of the MSZP in the 2022 cycle will follow. -2026.
The re-election of the LMP was not too spectacular, according to the political scientist.
It is also a question for the future of the matches, if, for example, Jobbik or Dialogue cannot win anywhere, will they be left with only one list? They can only enter Parliament from there: Gábor Török asks the question.
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