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According to the political scientist, thanks to the scandal that has just exploded, the next elections will not be decided in a while, but the basic question is also what Viktor Orbán will say about it.
The Szájer scandal is not worth evaluating alone, it is a much better way to listen to the pro-government world and observe the thinking of pro-government voters, he wrote. Gábor Török in their analysis published in the Index. The political scientist József Szájer Regarding his orgy in Brussels, he believes that the Fidesz MEP has failed.
Unveiling is a horrible personal tragedy, understanding and feeling your life, situation, decisions can be important for anyone interested in human destiny. However, all of this is irrelevant to political analysis.
According to Turk, the question for the political scientist in all these cases is how it affects political competition and actors, in this case, whether the scandal will destroy Fidesz and to what extent it could affect the 2022 elections. He drew attention to that.
Even the clearest and most obvious scandals show that they usually only cause small and / or temporary fluctuations in political polls.
In addition, the opposition will have no more voters “if it can finally laugh on the government’s side with a pure heart,” says Gábor Török. It is much more interesting if the political elite of Fidesz and among the voters will have an impact, a consequence of the matter.
The political scientist considers two things opportune:
On the one hand, this scandal itself is not worth evaluating, because we see at best the scale of the scandal. On the other hand, it is not worth starting from the uproar that surrounds him in the opposition camp, because it would be strange if it were not even for such a case.
Gábor Török believes that we now see two potential crises: one is the credibility crisis, the other is communication. In recent years, the credibility of Fidesz has been damaged several times: “spectacular enrichments, luxury lifestyles, wives and other family members in luxury exports, flight, yachts, Ibiza, the Adriatic”, listed the analyst.
Now this is much more than just another drop, and the picture being depicted is life threatening,
It is only because, according to Turk, the current protagonist is not a rural mayor, but a founding member of Fidesz, a fellow warrior and a close friend of the prime minister. However, what is important is that even if the camp is not satisfied with these steps, “the person of the prime minister is separated from them, separated from all evil”, so
the basic question is that Viktor Orban when and how to talk about it.
The communication, which the political scientist describes as “the most successful sector of the power factory to date”, has now been affected and it is not small, in fact, its impact can continue to be long-lasting.
Just think of how you can now Brussels, amend the constitution, talk about the family model, while each phrase will evoke the “house party” last Friday.
According to the Turks, there are still many miracle weapons of communication, but authenticity and communication cannot go indefinitely separately. He added that Fidesz has been in a great crisis for the last ten years and has always found a way out, but due to the Szájer case, the next election will surely not be decided for a long time.
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