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Unusual two-day skirmishes broke out between Armenia and Azerbaijan during the last weekend of September around the Nagorno-Karabakh (Nagorno-Karabakh) enclave in Azerbaijan, but under Armenian rule, experts say the conflict is a multi-faceted international showdown. . can be widened.
Armenia and Azerbaijan have come to the border to wage all-out war with each other in the latest chapter of the four-decade Nagorno-Karabakh conflict in Azerbaijan, inhabited by Armenians and controlled by the majority of the international community. Given that this is not the usual two-day military fight, of which there have been countless examples over a long period of time, it cannot be ruled out that there is a wide-ranging war conflict beyond the two countries, involving more than only the direct allies of the two countries. article about the confrontation on the regional news portal bne IntellNews.
The two directly affected are Russia, which supports Armenia, and Turkey, which supports Azerbaijan. The first, which has a military base in Armenia, has established a military alliance with Russia with Kazakh, Kyrgyz, Tajik, Uzbek and Armenian participation, which means that if a direct attack hits Armenia, this alliance should in principle defend the Member state attacked. Turkey is a member of NATO.
Terrifying opportunity
Bne IntelliNews journalists from the region, experts in the South Caucasus, agree that the risk is enormous, which does not change much due to the fact that apparently external intermediaries are aware of it. According to experts, suffice it to say that Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian has called on the international community not to allow Turkey to flow directly into conflict. According to unconfirmed reports, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan had given just this: he provided Azerbaijan with militias trained in the Syrian civil war and armed drones.
With Erdogan’s international toughness, intervening in civil wars in Syria and Libya, and announcing Turkish demand for natural gas fields found in the eastern Mediterranean, he may try to divert attention from Turkey’s economic problems. Instead of bread, you can feed people with nostalgia for the world power of the defunct Ottoman Empire. Dmitry Tenyin, an expert at the Carnegie Moscow Center, sees that if the Turkish intervention really sharpens the Russian-led Central Asian military alliance, NATO will be forced to line up alongside Turkey in response. Terrifying opportunity!
Complicated friendship
The good news is that relations between Moscow and Ankara have been generally friendly in recent years, despite their differences, in Syria and Libya, as they are on the opposite side in Nagorno-Karabakh. Furthermore, Russian President Vladimir Putin has a good relationship with his Azerbaijani counterpart Ilham Aliyev, which may now prove useful. The Russian expert calls for the intervention of France, Germany and the United States as mediators, suggesting that a mediation group has been created under the auspices of the OSCE to resolve the four-decade conflict, in which opposing parties are represented outside these three countries and Russia.
Until now, however, he has limited himself to looking for words for conciliatory intentions, although they were not lacking. Moscow called on the warring parties to halt military operations, but izibe, and offered a mediating role in the peace talks, which the Armenian leadership rejected, saying they were not there yet to take advantage of the offer. Charles Michel, President of the European Council, has asked almost literally the same thing. Worried about Berlin and Paris, Iran offered to create the conditions for peace talks. Even Pope Francis spoke, praying for peace.
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