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In the current wave of the epidemic, most infections seem to affect the young age group, hence the scenario, at least hospitalizations may appear favorable. Unfortunately, the picture is more nuanced and much more complex, and it doesn’t promise good results at all, the Pécs virologists warn on their Facebook page.
According to the Pécs virologists, the Florida scenario is repeated throughout Europe, including Hungary, infections mainly affect the younger age group, and fewer patients need hospital treatment. This may sound favorable, but the image is more nuanced and much more complex, and it doesn’t promise good results at all, they write in their post.
The increased participation of young people can be attributed to a number of reasons, including the expansion of the testing strategy (asymptomatic / mild symptomatic patients are now known to play a very important role in advancing the epidemic), and this age group he is less cautious than the elderly. However, a pattern experienced in other countries suggests that chains of infection reach the elderly group. That is why it is especially important to pay attention to them now, as Beatrix Oroszi, an epidemiology expert at the Ministry of Innovation, warned at the Covid symposium.
The number of hospitalizations is expected to increase in 4-5 weeks and deaths to increase another 2-4 weeks later. There is no evidence that the current weaker course can be attributed to a new mutation.
Winter is unlikely to do any good, as the virus spreads particularly well in closed, poorly ventilated areas, and spread by aerosol has also been proven. However, the good news is that the outcome of the epidemic is highly dependent on us, all of which can be mitigated with proper social care, virologists emphasize.
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