[ad_1]
Key statements in the interview:
- Last year’s restrictive measures worked, but the third wave is caused by a new, more contagious variant of the virus – it’s not about us building better defenses, it’s about the virus attacking better,
- the English initially said that the infectivity of the British variant was 40-50 percent higher, today it does not seem completely outlandish that the growth is even higher than 75 percent,
- all diseases can be organized in a coordinate system: the horizontal axis shows infectivity (measured by the number of reproductions) and the vertical axis shows severity (measured by mortality rate),
- In the case of coronavirus, it is moderate infectivity and moderate severity that together constitute a very unfortunate combination.
- contagion or infectivity is measured by the number of reproductions, in the original version of the coronavirus it can be around 2.5-3, below the usual influenza 1.5, now in our case the coronavirus with its restrictions is 1.3 radii),
- in the case of even mixing in a large population, a number 2 means 1,000 infected in just two months, while a number 3 already means 60,000 infected, so the limitations are important (the R number of measles is greater than 15) ,
- the most optimistic scenario is that by April the vaccination will have a notable effect on the breaking of the third wave, but this will not necessarily mean a peak, it can only be a slowdown in growth,
- It is true that in the near future we will be in greater danger of contracting the virus than ever in Hungary, and in addition to the deaths, he is more concerned about the burden on medical care.
- asks everyone to do everything they can to cut down on their contacts and even hold them together with a phone call.
Cover image: Getty Images
[ad_2]
