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Cecília Müller presented for the first time the data of the last 24 hours: 755 people are in the hospital and 51 are on a ventilator. There has also been a significant increase in the number of tests performed in laboratories. “When we talk about the second wave, we have to look at the dynamics of the epidemic. During the first wave, the goal was to flatten the wave so that fewer patients entered the care system, we solved it successfully,” she recalled.
The dynamics of the second wave have been different in recent weeks. In week 32, summer, the number of cases was lower, but from 34 to 35 and from 35 to 36, we found that the number of positive cases tripled and then the rate of increase decreased.
There was a time when the spawn rate was above 2, now it’s close to one, little more than that. The rise appears to be slowing down, we see the number of new infections approaching the bottom from the bottom on the 10th day, so the increase in the numbers is not increasing, we expect it to remain so.
Unfortunately, as the Portfolio has shown, this is not about stopping the epidemic, but about Hungary reaching the limit of testing capabilities. That is, we cannot detect more infected because we cannot test more. The proportion of positive tests is increasing at an alarming rate within the tests, which also does not suggest that the epidemic will decrease. Epidemiology experts talk about the fact that the reproduction rate cannot be estimated reliably now, the Hungarian data is very uncertain. Estimating the R0 value would require a much more reliable test system and testing capability, giving a realistic picture of the spread of the epidemic.
The proportion of young people still infected is high, with 43% of those aged 30-60 years in the oldest age group and only 15% of those over 60 years of age. The proportion of people under the age of 14 is very small, around 4 percent.
In terms of territorial distribution, there are no longer major foci to detect: there are smaller foci, but community distribution throughout the country is much more common.
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