At home: partial result of the national crown test shows a very low level of transfection

Of the 8,276 PCR tests performed to date, two positive results were found in the H-UNCOVER study, and 9 people (0.6 percent) in the first 1,524 blood samples were shown to be infected with a coronavirus. Based on these values, there are 2.4 infected people for every 10,000 inhabitants, and a total of 243-7230 active infected people for every 8,284,165 people, and 1.1 and 2.7 thousand people, that is, 22,399 and 92,624 people, respectively. Béla Merkely, rector of Semmelweis University, director of the national coronavirus screening test, said at the Semmelweis University online conference on Tuesday (with 95% confidence). According to the president, the results suggest that

we are far from collective immunity,

but it is no different in countries “suffering from a flame epidemic” (Italy, Spain, Great Britain, United States).

According to official data on Tuesday morning, there are currently 3,313 people infected in Hungary.

In a coronavirus screening test launched a week and a half ago, four Hungarian universities are seeking answers on the extent of transmission by the Hungarian population of the new type of coronavirus that causes Covid-19 disease. Studies nationwide with the help of a total of 1,500 doctors, nurses, doctors, doctoral students, and medical students are still ongoing, the result is only a partial result and only involves people over the age of 14, so that there are no residents in nursing homes, the conference warned. where the previous numbers have been described.

It’s a surprise, but not a big one: Professor Endre Ludwig, scientific and educational director of the National Institute of Hematology and Infectious Diseases at South Pest Central Hospital, assessed the values ​​he first saw at the conference. According to the professor, having such a low number of infected people will put its stamp on the next period.

According to infectious disease professor Gyula Prinz, it is not new that domestic transmission is low, which may be a problem after easing restrictive measures, because it means that the majority of the population may be susceptible to a possible second wave of epidemic. He evaluated the partial results in a similar way. Zoltán Vokó is also an epidemiologist.

There is a basis for careful opening, but the low level of transfection requires caution.

The test will be carried out in a group of 17,787 citizens over the age of 14 who represent the country’s population. The partial results of this were presented by the rector and the staff of the participating universities on Tuesday. According to Béla Merkely, the study will be successful if at least 10,500 people can be tested, and there is a good chance of this until the study closes on Friday. Final results are expected in late May. Two other similar comprehensive studies are planned, the closest in the fall.

Also questionnaire

The study not only performs PCR tests on selected people with the help of the Central Statistics Office, but also completes a 50-question questionnaire that asks them about parameters such as the number of contacts, activity and pre-existing diseases that can affect the probability of infection. and the course of the disease. The questionnaire has so far been completed by almost two thirds of the respondents.

At the conference, staff from the four participating universities, in addition to Semmelweis, the University of Debrecen, the University of Szeged and the University of Pécs, which carry out the research in a region of the country, reported on the status of the research. Until now. According to this, the number of people evaluated was 41 percent in the north and east of Hungary, 47 percent in the southeast of Hungary, 45 percent in the southwest of Hungary and 54 percent in the central and west from Hungary. In some settlements, on the other hand, they have already reached 90 percent values, and in Révfülöp they have already been able to assess all the people who live there.

Béla Merkely said that 14.7 percent of the respondents had rejected the research, and almost 9 percent of them still did not know if they would undertake it. They are even visited in person at their homes if necessary.

We definitely look forward to your participation

– said the rector, who said that voluntary and free participation in the study also has benefits for him: because those affected can find out if they have already had the infection and if they have temporary immunity.