The Prime Minister made contradictory statements about what is expected by May 3: the peak of the epidemic or the preparation of the care system. It doesn’t matter: graduation begins the next day. In the morning, the national chief medical officer stopped until May 3, but two hours later, Lajos Kósa already said that the fortune teller was not working so that the government knew exactly the peak. The summit on May 3 was welcomed by several experts.

coronavirus pandemic

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I’m saying that by May 3, when experts say the peak is going up, I think there will be 5,000 fans.

– Prime Minister Viktor Orbán said during his visit to the Hungarian Imre hospital on Sunday. On Monday, however, the Mary RadioHe was also interviewed on May 3, but in a completely different context. the MTI He quoted the prime minister that there is no guarantee that the epidemic will be controlled, so they are preparing for the worst.

that it is only a situation in which the spread of the epidemic cannot be controlled and escapes.

It will be necessary to assess how many patients will be in this order, how many of them will need to provide hospital beds, intensive care and a ventilator. “We need to make a war plan on how to accomplish all of this. Now I live my daily life in this job,” he said. Wait

By May 3, the country will reach the level of readiness when it can be stated: there are so many doctors, nurses, hospital beds, and ventilators who can receive all coronavirus patients in hospitals, even if the virus is released.

According to this statement, Viktor Orbán does not expect the epidemic to peak in May, but the health care system can prepare for patients by then. The May 3 peak cut many, as the government announced a few days earlier.

Graduation begins May 4.

Although the national medical director, Cecília Müller, told Orbán at Sunday’s press conference (around 11 am), she said, according to the mathematical model, that the epidemic “would reach the top” by May 3, which means that the number of diseases will not increase further. , but “a kind of plateau is formed”, which means that the same number of cases is recorded over several days. He couldn’t predict how long this “plateau” would last.

In comparison, it was surprising that Fidesz politician Lajos Kósa, who spoke before the agenda in Parliament (around 1 p.m.), said in response to an opposition deputy

This government does not have a fortune teller, therefore, as no one in the world, we do not know when the epidemic will peak, there is only one estimate of it.

To clarify Viktor Orbán’s statements, we contacted his press officer, Bertalan Havasi, as soon as he responds, we will update the article.

It is very early on May 3.

We also spoke to several bioinformatics scientists who did model calculations on Monday morning, but none of them could say how it turned out on May 3, announced by Orbán on Sunday.

Based on the decrease in the current infection rate, in the fact that the rate will decrease at a similar rate for at least another three weeks, Tamás Nepusz calculated that the epidemic could peak at May 11, he also expects a period dragged on. It was only able to come out on May 3 with a much better decline rate.

However, for the 5,000 ventilators to be needed by May 3, something huge would have to happen, unforeseen at this time, the number of patients who would come to the ventilator would have to double every other day. However, given the current pace of the epidemic, it appears that the 35,000 beds and 5-8,000 fans now released will not be needed in early May.

the Mary RadioIn Orbán, Viktor also spoke about when the country reaches “full capacity for self-defense”, step by step life can return to normal. In Orbán’s words, it can be concluded that the government will weigh in the balance of the pharmacy how much relaxation the country can afford, from which the epidemic has not yet broken out again. The danger is there: experts estimate that the epidemic could die on its own if 60-70 percent of the population becomes immune, which is not certain in the next 1-2 months, and it cannot be clearly expected that decrease due to summer. The epidemic.


The coronavirus is the greatest crisis of our time, in which it is literally vital to discover it from an authentic source. At HVG, we are committed to this mission even in this situation: to provide accurate, objective and independent information to our readers.

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The coronavirus is the greatest crisis of our time, in which it is literally vital to discover it from an authentic source. At HVG, we are committed to this mission even in this situation: to provide accurate, objective and independent information to our readers.

Support our work to bring you up-to-date information even in difficult circumstances.