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Even after the stamps were frozen on Sunday night after the record parliamentary elections with a turnout of 31.87 percent, Romanian parties have already started looking for coalitions. A final result is expected, after the complicated and untraceable redistribution (which becomes a mandate) of the fragmentary votes, after the counting of the votes of the diaspora letters, at the earliest by Wednesday.
Based on partial results released Monday afternoon (at 99.91 percent processing):
- the list of the Senate and House of Representatives of the Social Democratic Party (PSD) at 30 percent,
- the right-wing National Liberal Party (PNL) with 26 percent,
- also right-wing USR PLUS at 16 percent,
- the Association of Romanian Ulranaciponalists (AUR) at 9.3 percent,
- and the DAHR stands at 5.9 percent.
The former head of state dances to the limit, Traian Basescu led by the Popular Movement Party (PMP), 5 percent, by the former prime minister, Victor ponta he founded the Pro Romania Party and falls out of the legislature. Ponta made a sign on the side of the community and on the night he was leaving the party leadership.
Two things are certain: one is that the PSD will win the elections in vain, Klaus Iohannis the head of state does not entrust the formation of a government to them, but to the liberals behind it, and it is expected that Ludovic orban the current prime minister can reform a cabinet. In fact, the parties, with the possible exception of the AUR, are fleeing the PSD, and the Socdems will not gather a parliamentary majority as the winner.
The right is thinking of a backbone of the PNL-USR PLUS coalition, the DAHR, as Kelemen hunor President as early as Sunday night Dancing Brunette and the senator directed him to come in on Monday morning, lining up exclusively for a center-right coalition.
The current power partner continues to be the representatives of the 17 officially recognized minorities outside Hungary, who have won mandates practically ex officio. If the PMP also jumps to 5 percent at the end, the new ruling coalition will be on its way.
Of course, the main issue is the final number of party terms as the basis for negotiation, as well as the wish list. USR PLUS already wants a finance and justice portfolio that PNL would not provide. And time is of the essence, because Romania has no budget for 2021, and in the campaign, the Liberals promised a budget for Christmas.
The outcome of the talks could be delayed by the escalation of the internal power struggle in USR PLUS, and many would shovel Dan Barna current party leader.
The leader of the expelled party from Moldova appears to be playing from the Fidesz scoreboard
For twelve years there has been no nationalist party in the Romanian legislature, as in 2008 a Corneliu Vadim Tudor marked by the Party of Greater Romania (PRM) did not reach the five percent threshold. Thereafter, organized, regular and institutionalized anti-Hungarian sentiment and xenophobia were practically excluded from Romanian internal politics, with the exception of occasional outbursts and “compliance” at the government level, especially in the field of education.
Now, however, the far right had risen to life from the ashes with two leaders at the forefront, whose (f) recognition is light years from Tudor. Founded in 2019, AUR has two co-chairs George Simion Y Claudiu Târziu. Simion, 34, has put up the political banner of the unification of Romania with the Republic of Moldova and has been organizing demonstrations and trade union propaganda in both countries since the regime change of 1989, so it is not a coincidence that it was expelled from the state of Transnistria for five years in 2018. The political activity of his comrade in arms, Târziu, 47, is much more modest, and the president of the party, mainly associated with the Orthodox Church, ran on 27 September for the office of mayor of Bucharest, with a forgettable result.
The party seemed to have seized on the loudest theses about its political program from Fidesz: the basis of the family is the marriage between a man and a woman; the concept of family is not a basis for negotiation; and the main objective is the unification of Romania with the Republic of Moldova to “become a Greater Romania in Europe”. According to them, Europe is a community of nations, there is no need for a centralized government with an EU capital, a common parliament, a government, they oppose the “colonization of Europe with strangers”, they fight against the rights of the Orthodox clergy and they persecute Christians.
Cristian Tudor Popescu. Cristian Pârvulescu Political scientist believes AUR pinched PSD voters who miss the party’s lack of anti-EU nationalist propaganda Liviu Dragnea (He is serving his prison term for abuse of power) during his authoritarian presidency of the party. But what is even more surprising, and no survey predicted that the party’s propaganda, spread mainly on social media, is stored in the diaspora.
According to official data at noon on Monday, after almost complete voting processing, the AUR swept 36.16% in Italy, 36.71% in Cyprus, 25.87% in France and 26.73% in Spain. While in the diaspora so far, the center-right parties have been in order.
The tongue of the scales swings past the edge
Voting for people who live and work across the border in Romania has been a problem for two decades. Until now, the diaspora has been pushing the right-wing bandwagon in turn, so the PSD, while ruling, has tried to reduce voting opportunities. This year, however, for the parliamentary elections, the PNL installed 748 polling stations on five continents instead of 417 in 2016, and 39,244 citizens indicated that they would vote by letter. Foreign polling stations opened on December 4, but the scandal broke out earlier because hundreds of votes cast by letter did not reach the National Electoral Commission.
The counting of the votes cast in the letter is still being carried out, with the larger right-wing parties expecting additional percentages from abroad, and the smaller ones are expected to leave some votes that could decide in their case whether to jump the threshold. The lowest ever turnout of 31.87 percent, still 39.42 percent in 2016, is mainly in favor of small parties.
The reform of the electoral system has been floating in the air for a decade, but the current governor, even in the minority, has not dared to intervene, nor has the PSD made any sense in the past. So it is understandable that in Prahova County, for example, the presidents of the constituencies shuddered in the street for six hours at dawn on Monday until they were able to deliver the bags containing the ballots and minutes.
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