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Poland has already signaled late Thursday that it is ready to adopt the EU’s rule of law mechanism, to which resources from the next budget and the recovery fund will be tied. On the other hand, the Polish government spokesman said on Friday that their position had not changed, they were willing to veto it together with the Hungarians. A government crisis is unfolding over the EU battle in Warsaw, so Piotr Müller has left a gap in his statement that the common EU budgets are not being hanged. Prime Minister Viktor Orbán said on Friday that the Hungarian government was ready to continue the fight alone. Meanwhile, much of Europe is determined by the 1.8 billion euro package.
Poland also presented a 180-degree turn in 24 hours, followed by a 360-degree turn to the original point, on the rule of law mechanism for spending the EU budget and recovery funds. On Thursday night, on the € 1.8 billion budget package, Deputy Prime Minister Jaroslaw Gowin said he was ready to sign the package deal, provided it was accompanied by a detailed explanation of the rule of law conditions for use EU funds.
For this reason, the disintegration of the ruling coalition has already begun in Poland: the far-right Law and Justice Party (PiS), allied with the Hungarian Fidesz-KDNP, does not have an absolute majority only in the Polish Sejm. They also need the Poland Solidarity party, which already threatens the PiS by withdrawing its party from the coalition if Morawiecki does not veto the EU budget due to the rule of law. For this reason, the opposition Peasant Party (PSL) is already negotiating that it can support the PiS, which does not join the coalition but falls into a three-seat minority abroad.
Recent talks have also shown that Poland is pulling out of pro-democracy and pro-democracy bankruptcy of the EU in exchange for a non-legally binding document detailing what is a sin of the rule of law that the European Union could punish by withdrawing funds. It is no coincidence that in his radio interview on Friday morning, Prime Minister Viktor Orbán indicated that the Hungarian government would continue with the veto. And the prime minister has indicated that his ally so far is asking for a condition that “will not work.”
“Do not be afraid of casting a veto …”
This was distorted by the statement by Polish government spokesman Piotr Müller on Friday morning that:
Poland fully subscribes to its position on the regulation governing the spending of EU funds. Poland only considers acceptable a provision in line with the European Council treaties and agreements. This is clearly included in the joint declaration of Poland and Hungary.
His communication, on the other hand, is twofold: on the one hand, it shows that Poland has not vetoed it yet, and on the other hand, it may suggest that if the condition imposed by Gowin, a member of the other Polish ruling party, the Civic Platform, Warsaw will back down. The latter refers to the fact that the spokesperson had written that he would sign a document “in line with the agreements of the European Council”. If they receive the rule of law criteria in one statement, they can go back two.
Deputy Foreign Minister Pawel Jablonski spoke some more with a veto on Friday, saying that Gowin had been misunderstood and that Warsaw’s position had not improved. Jablonski told the AP that Poland’s position has been the same from the beginning. “We are ready to talk, we are ready to reach a compromise, but there are red lines”, which Poland would not cross, said the deputy minister.
“I think maybe Gowin didn’t say enough with what he said, but our position hasn’t changed at all,” Jablonski said, but highlighted his willingness to re-engage.
Anyway, 25 Member States are already sharpening their mowers
Within the 27-member bloc, there has been growing support for lobbying the governments of Poland and Hungary, which other countries accuse of violating basic democratic norms. Both countries insist on being unfairly accused and seek to be punished for their conservative values.
The main concerns are how these governments have increased the ruling parties’ control over the courts and the media, and the EU has very little power to change the direction of Warsaw or Budapest at the moment. The EU Treaty provides for an instrument, the Article 7 procedure, which can be used to punish states that deviate from democratic norms. Article 7 allows suspending the voting rights of the state, but this requires the unanimous vote of the other members of the EU, while the two countries have formed an alliance of defense and defiance.
The allocation of budgetary resources and money from recovery funds is now a cardinal issue in the EU, and the federation is very divided. On the one hand, frugal (or regressing) countries such as the Netherlands, Austria, Sweden, Denmark and Germany (the latter also falls outside of this line) are reluctant to join the joint debt, while the southern member states, which they have been most affected by the epidemic, they need the euro. millions. Portugal’s GDP fell 16.5 percent year-on-year, Spain 22.1 percent, Italy 17.3 percent in the second quarter, and the second wave is causing them more economic damage.
Although France’s 19 percent drop is high, as one of the world’s largest economies, it has more fiscal room for maneuver. Paris, on the other hand, is a committed supporter of the rule of law mechanism because President Emmanuel Macron had the basic idea, even before his election, of having a common EU bond, the loan of which is now a reality. On the other hand, the politician and his government were strongly in favor of integration, a great success for them, that Berlin also lined up behind joint borrowing, and Macron’s goal was to ensure that the union could not be weakened or paralyzed by one or two resigning member states.
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