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Mathematical calculations and models already in the spring pointed out the trends that led to the current second wave, that is,
It was already visible in spring what the autumn situation would be like.
– said Professor Péter Simon, doctor of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences, who told Magyar Hírlap granted an interview. According to the expert, you should never focus on specific numbers, but on trends.
As terrible as it is to say, in epidemiological mathematics, one, two, three thousand are here or there in the margin of error, that is, in the deck.
– said Peter Péter, who refuses to be accused of insensitivity because he considers that all human life is a value, but “the formulas only work with such variations”.
Mathematics has been revived in the shadow of the coronavirus and mathematicians have become key strategists in defense. But why is the model they create called?
According to the expert, the efficacy of vaccines can also be measured by formulas, but this would require data sets from doctors, as is currently the case for substances in the experimental phase. – not available. According to Simon, it is better to think in networks than in vaccination, that is, it is not enough to look at whose occupation it is, you also have to consider who comes into contact with how many people.
The expert also noted that
it could be a third wave, or even a plethora, until “many” people overcome the disease.
According to a representative summer survey, less than one percent of people spent it in May. Now the real number could be roughly half a million, that’s a little over five percent. Good to note that the fifty percent rate the flu has never been able to show before! That’s why you need the vaccine
The university professor explained.
Children’s home office may be better than adult’s.
(Cover image: A doctor in protective equipment treats a patient in a room set up to receive coronavirus-infected patients at the St. László Hospital in the capital on May 8, 2020. Photo: Károly Árvai / kormany.hu / MTI)
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