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The defeat of the president of the United States, Donald Trump, in the presidential election of the United States will weaken politicians around the world who are considered populists, but it will not lead to their downfall. There will be one among them who has changed to a more liberal political tone, there will be one who digs into his acquired position.
Politicians and governments around the world have been confident that they can benefit from the re-election of US President Donald Trump and are therefore committed to this scenario, according to Gideon Rachman, a publicist for the Financial Times (FT). The outgoing American head of state was the informal leader of the International Club of Populist Leaders. The main strongholds of this group are found in countries such as Brazil, Poland or Hungary.
Furthermore, there are major populist parties in Germany or Italy that have been inspired and authenticated by Trump’s political performance, and there are a number of governments that, for strategic and ideological reasons, are failing in Trump’s downfall. These are found in the UK, India, Israel, and Saudi Arabia. The FT expert believes that perhaps Viktor Orbán, Hungary’s prime minister, was the strongest supporter of the international “triumph”.
It was a breeze
In a sense, the precursor to Trump’s rise to power was the Orbán government’s tough anti-immigration policy during the 2015 European Refugee Crisis, which included the construction of a fence along Hungary’s southern border. A year later, Donald Trump won the 2016 US presidential election with the message that he was building a wall on the southern border of the United States to keep immigrants out.
The Polish ruling party, the far-right Law and Justice, is one of the champions of nationalist conspiracy theories and anti-globalist thinking, in which it comes into contact with Trump’s conception in many ways. The US president delivered his first major European speech in Warsaw in 2017, noting their ideological affinity, and the Poles floated the idea of naming their new US military base Trump Fortress.
Deep roots
The Trump administration encouraged Budapest and Warsaw to take on Brussels and Berlin, which also strengthened Viktor Orbán’s self-confidence. Proof of this is the author of the FT article in a statement by the Hungarian Prime Minister that while in the past we Hungarians thought that Europe was our future, today we know that we are the future of Europe. However, Trump’s defeat undermines Viktor Orbán’s dream of becoming a world-renowned political figure of international importance.
At the same time, even if the populists are undervalued, they are not threatened with failure because both the Hungarian and Polish governments have deep roots in their country. Also, Trump’s allies in Europe and other parts of the world may refer to the large crowd that voted for the outgoing president on November 3, 2020.
Smaller wins everywhere
The outcome of the US elections is also bad news for Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, who is derided as the “Trump of the tropics,” and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu finds himself in a similar position, rewarding the president of The United States for exiting the Iranian nuclear deal. the United States Embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem. The arrival of Joe Biden to the White House weakens Netanyahu in both domestic and international politics.
Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the country’s de facto leader, is also in a more difficult position after Biden demanded, among other things, a halt to US arms supplies to Saudi Arabia. You can rely on being politicized in a different opposition and a different government, so the opinion of the new president may change. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi can also expect the Biden administration to do less to investigate the rights of Muslims living in India than Biden as an opposition politician.
It is time to change
And we must not forget British Prime Minister Boris Jonshon from the line. Trump supported Brexit, opposed Biden, and then once it became final, he made it clear that the UK could not expect a free trade deal with the US if it entered into a relationship with the EU that would alter the deal. Good Friday for Irish reconciliation, ie if it expires. the symbolic nature of the border between Ireland and Northern Ireland.
On the climate issue, or on the issue of the Iran nuclear deal, in which the new US leadership wants to return to the six-power talks, Johnson’s views are closer to those of Biden than those of Trump. However, he was also ridiculed for being the British Trump, so presumably in the next few weeks before his makeup they will try to repaint his populist tone to be more liberal. Others, such as Orbán or Bolsonaro, according to the FT publicist, are expected to deepen their acquired position. Perhaps they are sure that their American hero from the Wild West will return to power in 2024, the next presidential election.
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