A new forecast has been received about the spread of the coronavirus in Hungary



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The National Center for Public Health has been testing wastewater since May for new hereditary coronavirus material. Sewage testing, in addition to serving as a kind of complex community sample, is also a good tool because asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic infections can also discharge hereditary virus material that would not be within the scope of conventional epidemiological tests.

Based on past experience, the increase in the concentration of coronavirus hereditary material detected in wastewater samples is followed by an increase in the number of new cases in 5 days. Due to the precision of the study, a European monitoring program is being prepared, with which a further increase in the number of cases can be effectively predicted, providing an opportunity for health institutions to prepare.

The rate of spread of the amount of hereditary material of the SARS-CoV-2 virus detected in sewage samples from the settlements monitored in week 42 stagnated in the capital, and the decline observed in several settlements nationwide was halted. in the previous week.

The epidemiological situation remains unchanged, so to avoid the spread of the spread in the Community, it is necessary to continue to comply with the existing preventive epidemiological standards. The most important thing is that only asymptomatic people who are considered healthy and who enter the community enter the community, especially with regard to the personnel of health, social and educational institutions. We avoid crowded places and situations – NNK information ends.

Based on what has been done so far, there is great uncertainty about the predictive power. Wastewater samples are not necessarily as accurate predictors as previously thought. We’ve already seen examples in recent weeks that wastewater data projects a decline, but this did not show up in the subsequent infection figures.

Cover image: Getty Images



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