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The number of recorded infections per day is the third highest so far in the epidemic, with the number of deaths (33) exceeding 30 for the first time. Overall, this indicates an intensification of the epidemic.
Because infectious case numbers show a less reliable picture of the evolution of the epidemic due to low testing capabilities, more stable, albeit lagging, data can provide guidance. According to this, the number of serious cases continues to increase:
The number of deaths is also increasing. However, it is worth noting that despite the extent of the (suspected) epidemic, the number of deaths remains high. The main question here is how long we will see growth, since international experience in this regard shows so far that the second wave of epidemics has fewer victims than the first. All those who died in the last 24 hours were elderly, sick.
The intensification of the epidemic is indicated by the fact that more than 13% of the tests were positive, that is, it is true that more tests would mean more cases. At the same time, the 13% figure is relative in international comparison: in the countries of the region where the virus has been released according to official case figures, the positivity rate exceeds 20%. In other words, the uncertainty about the extent of the intensification of the epidemic is strong, as the Hungarian rate lags behind. This can be explained in the same way by a more moderate epidemic dynamics than by a deterioration in detection efficiency.
Cover image: Getty Images
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