Trump could beat his illness, at the cost of a great sacrifice

Donald Trump became infected with the coronavirus after he said in the spring that it would disappear into nowhere when he unexpectedly appeared to tell journalist Bob Woodward, who had written a book about the last six months, that he had deliberately handled the threat because he thought the public You must be sure that your government has not developed a national test strategy, that it has recommended that Americans treat themselves with disinfectants inside and out, that they held campaign rallies in front of large crowds that no one thought were scary and that they they mocked his presidential opponent, Joe Bident. the Democratic candidate because he usually appears in public with a mask.

With this list, The Guardian leads the investigation into the consequences of the extraordinary development. Although two hundred thousand Americans have so far died from the coronavirus disease, Trump has defeated the epidemic with words, as have British Prime Minister Boris Johnson and Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, who were also (were) skeptical of the coronavirus and contracted the infection. The number one consequence of the new situation is that 32 days before the elections, the president will have to self-quarantine, so he will have to forgo his favorite campaign events, the rallies.

And Biden?

Holding the second Biden-Trump debate on October 15 has become questionable. If retained, participants can only be present remotely, online. Analysts see that if the president escapes asymptomatically or with a mild course of illness, he will say, right, that it is nothing. If you go to the hospital, the sympathetic mood can improve your sympathy rating, just as Johnson, who was very seriously ill, was kept alive for days on a ventilator. Trump is 74 years old, so he is at risk.

Finally, there is a big question: could he have infected Trump Bident, with whom he was in an airspace for two hours during his debate on September 29? Admittedly, not out of a precaution, they did not shake hands and were wide apart, but many of Trump’s entourage did not wear masks in the room, and there was Hope Hicks, the president’s senior adviser, who was also infected.

Even before Trump’s positive test was announced, The Economist magazine’s out-of-poll indicator, which summarizes the results of opinion polls, indicated that the president’s chances of winning had dropped to 10 percent. . According to the graph, Biden could expect 340, Trump 198 voters, the last time such a difference between them was measured. The largest deviation was 349-189 in mid-July, standing at 330-208 on September 24.

What if Trump is misplaced?

444.hu outlined what could happen under US law if Donald Trump stepped out of line.

• For example, if the president dies or is unable to serve, the vice president, Mike Pence, 61, will take office. Meanwhile, CNN discovered that Pence and his wife tested negative for their first coronavirus test.
• If Pence also gets sick and cannot do the necessary work, the presidency would go to Democrat Nancy Pelos, 80, who is also the Speaker of the House of Representatives. According to CNN, Pelosit has also been tested, but is still waiting for the test to come.
• Pelosit in the presidency will be replaced by the president pro tempore of the Senate, Republican Chuck Grassley, followed by Secretary of State Mike Pompeo. There is no news yet that they have been tested.
• If any of the presidential candidates dies, his party will nominate a new candidate to replace him. A new candidate can be anyone who meets the legal criteria for the presidency. The name of the deceased candidate must be rewritten on the ballot papers. If a transcript is required after the ballots have been finalized, the party in question would have to go to court as they could allow the transcript.
• If the president dies between the election and the inauguration, then if this result occurs after consecration by Congress, the vice president of the president-elect – Pence in Trump, Kamala Harris in Biden (who has also been shown to be negative) – would be president. .
• If the president-elect dies between the electoral vote and the counting of votes in Congress, the ball bounces in Congress. If MPs and senators decide not to count the votes cast by the dead, New York law professor Richard Pildes said the legislature could also elect a president, and in this process each federal delegation would have 1 vote.
• According to Pildes, the situation is more complicated if the president-elect dies between the November and December elections. In such cases, it also matters that certain federal states tie the hands of their constituents and force them to vote for the candidate who has received the most votes in that state. However, it is not known whether this obligation would apply even if the candidate were dead. In this case, the electorate’s party loyalty will certainly count as well, and Pildes said they would likely vote for the late vice presidential candidate.