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After the death of a legendary liberal justice on the US Supreme Court, Republicans can achieve their old dream, a court with a strong conservative majority, while Democrats can get another big boost in the election campaign.
The Republicans set out to fill the Ruth Bader Ginsburg a vacancy on the Supreme Court. Donald trump The president of the United States on Monday to Fox News On his morning show, he had already announced that he had narrowed his list to five candidates and would announce later in the week, scheduled for Friday or Saturday, who he had nominated to replace the iconic liberal judge.
Filling the Supreme Court of the United States, which also serves as the Constitutional Court, with conservative justices has been one, if not the most important, program for the Republican Party for decades, and now they have the opportunity to build a strong conservative majority for decades. And to achieve that goal, they also promise to disregard their own words.
Unmissable opportunity
A similar situation arose four years ago after the death of a conservative judge who was considered legendary as Ginsburg, Antonin Scalia, Barack Obama in the last year of his presidency. Republicans were able to successfully prevent the Senate from voting for Obama’s candidate for ten months. It was argued that in a presidential election year, it is not possible to appoint a new judge to a vacant post on the Supreme Court.
However, despite the plethora of recordings of renowned Republican politicians declaring that a new supreme judge cannot be appointed in a presidential election year, this principle has been rejected. Mitch McConnell, the leader of the Republican Senate faction announced a few hours after Ginsburg’s death that a new judge would be appointed, and this was confirmed by the chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee. Lindsey graham also senator.
Graham, who stated in 2016:
They use my own words against me. If a Republican president is elected in 2016 and there is a vacancy in the last year of his first term (on the Supreme Court), it can be mentioned that Lindsey Graham said let’s let the next president decide who it will be.
And he repeated it in 2018, stating that if there is a vacancy in Trump’s last year, they will wait until the election to fill it.
Lindsey said she wants us to use her words against her. Ok, done. pic.twitter.com/HrYrpVZyuw
– The Lincoln Project (@ProjectLincoln) September 20, 2020
The question is whether they will be successful in the end. To appoint a new judge, Republicans need 50 votes (as well as Mike pence vice president in case of a tie) in the 100-member Senate, which currently has 53 Republicans and 47 Democrats and independent senators voting with them.
Two Republican senators have already indicated that they will not vote for Trump’s candidate because he adheres to the 2016 Republican principle, so the Democrats would have to convince two more Republican senators not to vote for the new judge. And they don’t have many options. One of them Mitt romney a former Republican presidential candidate on whom it is not yet known how he will decide.
Along with them, according to US press summaries, there could be as many as half a dozen Republican senators who could be persuaded not to vote for Trump’s candidate. Interestingly, it is precisely some conservative organizations that can help them that fear that a hastily appointed judge will result in not making the decisions they are expected to make when they are already seated on the Supreme Court.
However, the big question is how the political battle for the appointment of the Supreme Court will affect the presidential elections.
Democratic voters were torched
Joe biden One of the main criticisms of the Democratic presidential candidate has always been his inability to excite liberal, left-wing voters, and above all his main attraction is that he is not Trump: a little boring, a little without salt, but a nice old man who does not arouse great emotions. , but it’s not so scary that it fills terrorists dissatisfied with Trump in a conservative direction. However, Ginsburg’s death instantly solved what Biden couldn’t do. He set fire to left-wing activists.
The Supreme Court issue has traditionally moved more conservative voters and been a major campaign issue for Republican politicians for decades, successfully mobilizing those who fear the abortion ban from “activist judges politicizing the judiciary” and waiting for an abortion ban from a conservative-majority supreme court. Now, however, the cube appears to have turned and the Liberals have moved, as evidenced above all by the fact that they began supporting Democratic candidates with record amounts.
An online fundraising site called ActBlue awarded $ 6.2 million to Democratic candidates and organizations an hour after Ginsburg’s death, a great record on the site’s 16-year-old site. That was already canceled in the next hour, when $ 6.3 million arrived, and it was already Sunday afternoon. reportedthat hundreds of millions of dollars in donations were raised after Ginsburg’s death. That’s nearly half the amount Trump and the Republican Party raised in August for the November election.
It is generally believed that the Supreme Court only moves Republicans, but these donations show that this has changed
– the founder of another Democratic organization, Crooked Media, told the New York Times, Tommy vietor. On its fundraising side, where you can support Democratic senatorial candidates, 9 million dollars came in in just one day.
This was confirmed by the leader of a democratic campaign organization called PrioritiesUSA, Guy Cecil, citing data from internal surveys saidthat after defeating Trump, the Supreme Court is the second most important case for Democratic voters. According to an August poll by the Pew Research Center, 66 percent of Biden supporters said that nominating top judges is a very important issue for them, while among Trump supporters, that number is only 61. percent.
Meanwhile, Biden tries to react sparingly to the image of him. Rather than embracing the ideas of progressives who demand tough political responses, the Democratic presidential candidate, who made cooperation with Republicans a central element of his campaign, urged some Republican senators to decide on the fate of the vacancy to ” listen to conscience. ” your job and let the people decide.
The Biden campaign is confident that voters will see how hypocritical and hypocritical the behavior of Republican politicians will be and, by trying to quickly take Ginsburg’s place, will push the still-uncertain electorate toward the Democratic presidential candidate. Meanwhile, the poll data is in favor of Biden.
The majority of Americans (62 percent) said the next president should decide on a new judge, and only 23 percent disagreed, according to a Reuters / Ipsos poll released on Sunday.
According to an investigation conducted before Ginsburg’s death, the majority of voters would leave the decision to Biden rather than Trump. In addition, most voters who are still convinced, who are not sure who they want to vote for or if they will vote in the presidential election, consider that Bident is better suited to appoint a new judge, and Democrats now hope to put him next to the Democratic presidential candidate. then your votes.
Biden’s campaign also seeks to link the issue of the supreme judiciary with health reform, which turned out to be a winning issue for them in the congressional elections held two years ago in the coming weeks. According to Axios and the New York Times, they will also emphasize the protection of the Social Security Act, known as Obamacare, that the Trump administration has challenged in the Supreme Court and that the court will begin to hear in the week after the election.
However, one thing would significantly increase your chances: If you could convince enough Republican senators not to vote for Trump’s candidate, it would show that it’s not just empty talk when you talk about how well you can work with Republicans, and the reality is that a statement of what left-wing progressives think is a dream and naive that the two parties can work together.
Top image: Visitors at a makeshift memorial site in Washington honoring Ruth Bader Ginsburg. Photo: Samuel Corum / Getty Images
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