How to prevent further epidemics


This graph can tell you a lot about your future. Each bar shows how many new infectious diseases emerged in one year. In 1944, there was one. In ’48, three. We have no immunity to new pathogens. Epidemics are a new threat to every disease on this list. It was around 1960 when the numbers began to grow. After turning around 1990, it wasn’t just two or three new diseases that year – there were 18. Soon, the trend became clear, with a scientist appearing on TV with a warning. “What worries me the most is that we’ll miss the next disease, or we’ll suddenly find the SARS virus, which is moving from one part of the planet to another, erasing people as it moves along.” That was 17 years ago. And today, the seemingly never-ending epidemic is stuck at home in Pygmy, it seems we have not heeded its warning. The Covid-19 has opened our eyes to danger. But has it done enough for our future to look back on this epidemic? We found the same scientist today to ask him: How can you prevent the next epidemic? He said the trend doesn’t look good. “We have seen an increased frequency of epidemics. We still have one that has emerged recently. We still have HIV. We still have Ebola. We still have H1N1. So we are adding to the stock of known epidemic pathogens with new people at an increasing rate. It is not a good place for us as a species right now. “If you want to know how to prevent further epidemics, you first need to know why they are happening. “We humans are an ecological anomaly. Never before in the history of the Earth have there been 7. billion billion large body vertebrae of a single species on this Earth. This is David Cumen. It is a – “- very mysterious, black hole Darwinian materialist.” Well, David is a storyteller. He has been writing about the origins of infectious diseases for many decades. “So we are unprecedented, and we are causing an ecological catastrophe that is unprecedented, and so are the consequences.” [explosions] “Outbreaks appear to be exacerbated during our ecological footprint. And our cultural footprint is growing rapidly. “Remember this guy? It’s Peter Dasak, the scientist who warned us in 2003. He’s sometimes called a virus hunter. He went out to find the virus before he found us.” This is the connection between humans and animals that is driving this, and it is the connection where people move to new areas through things like road construction and deforestation, mining, palm oil production, timber and livestock production. It comes down to wildlife that we haven’t really had much contact with. Pathogens spread through them, and then they spread through connectivity. ” [birds squawking] “We are encroaching on their homes. And many more chances of spillover events occurring. “Christian Walzer is a global veterinarian and executive director of the Wildlife Conservation Society.” Deforestation is one of the areas we are most concerned about. They can be operated in an area where the human population is high. And all of a sudden, you create a contact area that didn’t exist before. “So what do these new areas of contact look like? In this video, we are going to show you three ways in which our changing relationship with wildlife is increasing the chances of an increasingly dangerous epidemic. So let’s say you want to sell toothpaste. No, peanut butter. Wait, wait shampoo. Never mind, never mind. In all those cases, you need palm oil. So you burn a forest to grow palm trees in Malaysia but that forest was home to some bats. So the bat finds a new home near some fruit trees on a pig farm. But soon, it will enter farmers with a virus property from bats. This is not science fiction. This is how the Nipah virus came into humans. “Why did those people get fruit bats? Due to the destruction of the dwelling. In most of the forests in northern Malaysia, where bats usually live wild and eat wild fruit, most of the forest was destroyed. Instead of the forest, in other human industries, there were huge pig farms, piggeries, where thousands of pigs were kept in a single coral, raised for meat. Some of these corals were shaded by domestic fruit trees that were planted to grow mangoes for these pig farms or to grow starfruits for another revenue stream. So the bats, losing their wild habitat, are attracted to the native fruit trees. They come in, they eat mangoes, they eat starfruit, they leave the pulp in the pork coral. And with that, they excrete their feces and urine and viruses. It goes into pigs, spreads through pigs, and then comes to pig farmers, pig sellers and others. “Changes in land use are a major cause of more infectious diseases entering humans. However, it is not just the habitat of animals that we need to worry about. Animal diversity can be just as important.” The loss of biodiversity is the cause of disease. When you lose a species, you will be left with certain groups. And if they carry the virus, and if they dominate the landscape, you may be exposed to that virus more than others. ” It does not start in the forests of Africa or the forests of Southeast Asia. We start in the American suburbs. “If a man cuts down a forest and turns it into a suburb, like the beautiful suburbs we know in semi-rural Connecticut, where there are no big lans in front of nice houses, and there is a hedge, and then a big lan in front of someone else’s house, it’s really Really good habitat for white-legged mice and white-tailed deer. Not so good for big mammals like fox, like nile or for birds of prey. So hawks and owls disappear, foxes and nozzles disappear from this environment. What happens then? You get more white-legged mice. You get an abundance of white-legged mice because their predators don’t suppress them. “The abundance of white-legged mice would not be so bad, unless it is the host of a natural reservoir of Lyme disease. This means that they harbor bacteria, but it does not make them sick. So if there is a biologically diverse landscape, good , Then – “The pathogen is divided into different hosts that are in the landscape. Many of these hosts are incapable and indeed incapable of transmitting the disease. And so it becomes a diluting effect.” Making more fragmented, less wooded, infects more young children when they go for walks around the grass and bust through hedges. So there is more Lyme disease. “And yet, Covid-19 hasn’t started this way yet.” Given the current frenzy, if you create a completely synthetic interface where you’ll go regionally, globally and capture animals, and like the wildlife trade market, place them in one place. If you bring it together, then you’re clearly creating fantastic opportunities for the virus. Floating up. “The pathogen from one animal may not flow directly into humans, but it may spread to another animal, evolve or adapt, and then to humans. Can infect. With different types of animals on top of each other, the chances of an epidemic are significant. This is a theory about how coronavirus can start in China. The thing is, in the past, this wildlife market spillover event may not have affected you. “We also need to take a step back from the very romantic idea that these are isolated communities living in Central Africa. You know, I always point out that the rat you capture somewhere in North Congo, within 12 hours, you’re in Brazzaville. “The Republic of the Congo now has new modern highways and economic arteries for Chinese aid.” Look, just 10 years ago, that would have been impossible. But then, well, China – “the national highway was completed -” In return, they helped with the infrastructure. Now, there’s a way. They’ve built an accessway not only to the rare earth that is important to your mobile phone, but also to the virus. “If you catch the plane that evening and You take your mouse with you because you want to bring it to your family in Paris, it’s less than 24 hours to go to Paris from a very remote community. “But the luggage is shown, you say. The mouse is caught. Maybe. But really. “Mice are not the biggest threat. It’s you. Your bag is screened. You don’t have blood.” We share the responsibility. There may be an immediate reason, but in terms of the initiation of these things, in general, enough barley to move around There is also responsibility. “The three ways the epidemic started in this video all have one thing in common – ours.” Here’s what we did. We’ve changed the planet so significantly and so fundamentally that we’ve now dominated every ecosystem on Earth. We’re the dominant species of vertebrate. “Our livestock is the dominant biomass on the planet. And that’s the point. What we’ve done is we’ve created this habit through our consumption habits, through which the virus can come from wildlife to humans and then infect us. And our response.” That is, we blame one country against another, we blame people who eat one, and those who do not eat another, and we blame nature. Well, no, we point the finger at ourselves. This is not a prudent argument that the world is falling apart and it is our fault, it is an argument that says we are the cause of it. So, we have the power to change it. ” How can you prevent an epidemic? Well, this is what you do. Find out what viruses are in the wild. We have an estimated 1.7 million unknown viruses. Let’s find them. Let’s get the viral sequence. Let’s take them into the hands of vaccine and drug developers, and let them design vaccines and drugs that are widely effective – not just against one pathogen, but against numerous pathogens. But number 2, and critically, we need to work with communities that are on the front lines of this. And it’s a remedy that makes people less excited. It’s old. It works with different communities in foreign countries that perform different functions. It’s hard work, and it’s less appealing to the voting public. We have to do all of the above. High-tech, low-tech, but focused on prevention. It is possible and it is right. Come on, come on and do. ”Great. Let’s do that. No more epidemics. There is only one problem – money. “Please, back. Thank you, Mr. President. US intelligence is saying this week that the NIH, under the Obama administration in 2015, gave the lab a 3.7 million grant. Why would the US give such a grant to China?” The grant will expire very soon, but – “Donald Trump canceled a grant that funded research to prevent epidemics, including the study of coronavirus in bats. But the grant did not go to China. It was going – you guessed it. – Peter Dasak. That grant started in 2015. “2015? Who was the president at that time, I wonder?” “We have to put an infrastructure here not only at home, but globally, to see it quickly, to differentiate it quickly. “This is not a new fight. But if we wait for epidemic monitoring, it will be too late to prepare.” What’s new is our reaction to it. “It’s not anyone’s fault – it’s Isn’t that so – can you ever predict something like this? “” My biggest concern is that we’re going to The emerging disease will be missed. “If we don’t see more events like Kovid-19 in the future, we need to prevent it before it becomes an epidemic. It means eradicating epidemics and investing in prevention. “I think we need to wake up. There is a certain moment right now where the masses around the world, as this epidemic has found every country on the planet, are now intimately connected to their own health in public as to why this epidemic arises from the wildlife trade or deforestation. So we really need to carry that message home that building a healthy planet will really save our own lives and improve our own health. “

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