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Ghana’s central bank held its benchmark interest rate for the sixth meeting in a row while monitoring the impact of the new tax measures on inflation.
The monetary policy committee kept the rate at 14.5 percent, the central bank said in an emailed statement on Monday. That coincided with the forecast of the five economists in a Bloomberg poll.
Inflation in the West African nation has been above the central bank’s target range of 6% to 10% for most of the past year, as food prices rose due to supply constraints caused by the restrictions. to slow the spread of the coronavirus.
The Bank of Ghana expects the price growth rate to return to its target in the second quarter of this year, it said in the statement.
“Inflation risks in the short term are broadly balanced, but short-term pressures are emerging from rising oil prices and the direct and secondary effects of the revenue measures announced in the 2021 budget,” the MPC said. in the statement. Monetary policy should remain vigilant to monitor these risks, he said.
The government implemented new fiscal measures to reduce a fiscal gap that reached 11.7 percent of gross domestic product in 2020.
A stronger cedi can ease price growth pressures, reducing the need for the central bank to follow its emerging market peers with tighter policy. Still, Ghana has little fiscal space and may need to use interest rates to attract capital to finance its budget deficit that is projected to fall below the legislated threshold of 5 percent of GDP by 2024.
The economy of the world’s second-largest cocoa producer went into recession in the third quarter when virus-related restrictions crippled activity. The government expects GDP to expand 5 percent this year.
The central bank said polls conducted on Monday in February showed some weakening in both consumer and business confidence. The drop in confidence reflects heightened concern about the possible return of restrictions following the surge in COVID-19 cases in the first two months of the year, he said.
(Source: Bloomberg)