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Chelsea has been listed as a potential Premier League title challenger this season after spending more than £ 200 million in the summer.
Frank Lampard’s men have had a respectable start to the campaign, currently six points behind leader Liverpool, so they are still in the running for the title at this early stage, but what chance do they have of coming out on top this season?
Based on the latest FiveThirtyEight predictions, there aren’t many possibilities.
The predictions, which use a variety of data to rate teams and put together a predicted final position for each team, suggest that Chelsea have only a 6% chance of winning the Premier League title this season.
Manchester City, who are currently eight points off the pace with one game in hand, are set to come out on top, two goals ahead of Liverpool, who are also set to finish with 80 points.
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Pep Guardiola’s men have been given a 42% chance of winning the title, ahead of Liverpool’s 38%, although of course the data changes from week to week.
Chelsea are expected to finish fourth with 69 points, one point behind Manchester United and four ahead of Tottenham, who until recently seemed to be true contenders.
Data specialists may not be optimistic about the Blues’ title chances, but there are more encouraging figures when it comes to qualifying for the Champions League.
Lampard’s men have a 56% chance of finishing in the top four, according to the data, and that’s a significant amount more than Tottenham’s rivals, who are given just a 35% chance.
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Along with Spurs, Leicester City is expected to finish in the top six with Everton, Aston Villa and Southampton on the periphery.
At the other end of the table, West Brom, Sheffield United and Fulham are inclined to suffer relegation to the Championship with Burnley and Newcastle United dodging the fall.
He’s leaning at Arsenal to turn things around to some degree, finishing 12th.
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