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Source: Arabia.net – Monia Ghanmi
After the president of the Presidential Council of the Government of National Accord in Libya, Fayez Al-Sarraj, announced hours ago his intention to resign from his position at the end of next October, and to hand over all his responsibilities to a new authority whose formation Negotiations are being carried out between the two parties in conflict in the country, attention is drawn to what the situation will be after the resignation. .
Five years have passed since Al-Sarraj assumed the presidency of Al-Wefaq, during which he failed to rebuild his country and lift it out of chaos, and his performance was criticized for his rapprochement with Turkey and his alliance with the Brotherhood, and also confronted great internal pressure from armed militias and popular protest movements against corruption and poor basic services. .
Libyan politicians and observers believe that al-Sarraj’s conditional resignation, while fulfilling one of the main demands of many Libyans, was not accompanied by a final and formal agreement on a new government and authority, which, in their view , enters the country in a state of confrontation of unknowns and political ambiguity.
Give up in the face of an imminent explosion!
In this context, MP Gabriel Ouhaida considered in a statement to Al-Arabiya.net that Sarraj’s announcement of his intention to resign from power came after he realized that the dire situation in Libya had reached the stage of the explosion, and al-Sarraj himself is the most affected, as well as afterwards. The objectives of his allies inside Libya have changed, through which he realized his weakness, until it became necessary for him to participate in the game of shuffling the cards so that he could come out with something from the following scenario, even if he came out safe and sound, as he put it himself.
However, despite the importance of this step conditional on the formation of a new executive authority, the deputy is optimistic about the post-Sarraj phase, where he hopes that what he called “the existing political waste” will be recycled, and the Power and influence are shared by tribes, regional and ideological, so that the basis of the Libyan crisis remains in the continuous control of the militias and the survival Foreign mercenaries, proliferation of weapons, corruption and foreign interference, pointing out that all in the scene now they cannot find solutions to the Libyan problem because they are part of it.
In his speech, he stressed that the Libyan situation today requires arbitration by national technocrats to draw a national map that the international community will support in its implementation.
No more paper pressure!
For his part, political analyst Suleiman Al-Atiri considered that Sarraj’s resignation came as a letter of pressure to accelerate the process of formation of a new authority, but it opens the door to ambiguity, especially since the results of the political dialogue between the state and parliament are still unclear, and in light of the multiplicity and division of the paths of dialogue between Morocco. And Switzerland.
He explained in a statement to Al-Arabiya.net that the two parties interested in forming a new executive authority, the State Council and the Representatives, are consulting in Morocco, instead, there is another parallel dialogue between the actors on the ground of armed formations and representatives of the old regime and personalities of the Libyan tribes in Switzerland, he noted. However, this “confusion” can contribute to different positions and contradictory results.
Regarding the names nominated to assume the next positions in the new presidential council and the next government, Al-Atiri explained that the discussion remains focused on sharing positions between the regions, while the names or personalities have not yet been negotiated, and the presidency of the next presidential council is expected to fall to the east, while the prime minister will be the participation of the western region, provided that the rest of the positions are divided between the three regions.
Al-Osira threw the ball
For his part, Libyan political activist Faraj Farkash confirmed in an interview with Al-Arabiya.net that Al-Sarraj put the ball in the court of the House of Representatives and the state by announcing his resignation from power in the event that the two chambers agree to amend the Presidential Council as stipulated in the political agreement and according to the departures from Berlin.
He added that these developments give the impression of the occurrence of international and internal pressures and agreements that made Sarraj and his side abandon the idea of adhering to the general elections next March, which seems an unrealistic step in light of the current political and social division and in light of the polarization and entrenchment that is taking place, and the conviction of the need for a short transition phase. In which the country joins its institutions, especially security and military, and a stage in which stability, calm and a kind of national reconciliation prevail, and the creation of a constitutional base that leads to a permanent stage.
Farkash also believes that linking Sarraj to his resignation according to the consensus of the two councils also implies a conditional resignation and is closely related to what will happen before the end of October, highlighting that the alleviation of the Libyan crisis in the near future is also linked to positions of active forces on the ground, including Army General Command in the east and government reconciliation forces in the west.
Logical and realistic
On the other hand, the head of the National Human Rights Committee in Libya, Ahmed Hamzah, seems more optimistic about the next stage in Libya, as he believes that the understandings and the formation of a unified vision during the political consultations in Morocco, Egypt or Geneva, Switzerland, represent a base on which to build “If the intentions are realized,” and establish broad understandings and consensus among political parties. “
Ahmed Hamza said in a statement to Al-Arabiya.net that announcing Al-Sarraj’s intention to submit his resignation conditional on the agreement of the Dialogue Committee between the State and Parliament to form a new authority, “a logical and realistic condition” , because it is not possible to leave the reconciliation government and create a political vacuum on the scene before it is replaced. With another government, it would be the product of a political agreement between all the country’s political parties.
In addition, Hamzah stressed that the two dialogue committees are obliged today to work together to reach political agreements that allow settling the Libyan crisis and reach the formation of a new government of national consensus that works to end the state of division and conflict. political in the country, improve humanitarian and living conditions, in addition to preserving the sovereign institutions of the state and working to create the right conditions for the next parliamentary and presidential elections.
Notably, recent protests in the Libyan capital fueled tension between Sarraj and Interior Minister Fathi Bashagha, who suspended him from work for a brief period last month before returning to his post.
Al-Sarraj’s departure could lead to new internal disputes between senior Al-Wefaq officials and between armed groups in Tripoli and the coastal city of Misrata to which Bashagha belongs.
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