Injuries and deaths increase at this rate … Health reveals a prediction model



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1:47 pm

Wednesday 04 November 2020

Books – Muhammad Sami:

Dr. Hala Zayed, Minister of Health and Population, revealed the results of the prediction model of the state of the “Coronavirus” disease in Egypt, which was carried out in cooperation with the Middle East Regional Office of the World Organization of health.

Zayed said, during a cabinet meeting Wednesday, that the results indicate a doubling of injuries and a tripling of deaths, in case the precautionary measures are not followed.

Zayed explained that an analysis was carried out on the possible effects of the use of masks in reducing the transmission of the virus, and an estimate of the total number of infections and deaths in the event that health policies and precautionary measures were not applied during a expected period, which is December 2020.

And the Minister of Health continued: The prediction model concluded that the lack of implementation of health policies and precautionary measures will result in a doubling of the expected number of injuries, while the expected death rate will triple, as well as an increase of the burden on the health system (beds – care devices – respirators). ).

At the end of the study, the study recommended that a large proportion of the population wear masks at an early stage in the development of the epidemic, which will lead to the infection of a smaller proportion of the population.

The minister said that regarding the cases discovered during the last week, the internal bed occupancy rates reached 12% and the unoccupied beds reached 88%, and the occupancy rate for intensive care beds reached 50%. while the fan occupancy rate reached 19% and 81% of the devices were vacant. In the different governorates of the republic.

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