Democrats lead three Senate races on the battlefield: poll

Democrats lead their Republican opponents in crucial Senate elections in Arizona, North Carolina, and Michigan as parties fight for control of the upper house in November.

A new poll by the New York Times / Sienna College indicates that Republican candidates in election contests may feel the repercussions of recent controversies over the handling of the coronavirus, the economy, and growing civil unrest over police brutality and systemic racism.

The poll shows former astronaut and gun control activist Mark Kelly leading the senator. Martha McSallyMartha Elizabeth McSallyMcSally presents bill to incentivize Americans to take a vacation (R) By a 47-38 margin in the Senate race in Arizona, a state that will also be a key battleground in the presidential race. Another 16 percent of registered voters are undecided or say they would vote for someone else.

The race for the Arizona Senate, which will decide who occupies the last two years of the late senator. John McCainJohn Sidney McCain Republican Scott Taylor wins the Virginia primary, to face Elaine Luria in the rematch Congress should reinstate the tax certificate program to encourage diversity of media ownership NIGHT DEFENSE: Top Democrats file a bill to stop Trump’s withdrawal to Germany | Esper Announces Internal Review On Diversity In The Army | Senior Pentagon foreign policy official resigns after White House approves MORE nominationThe term (R) is an excellent opportunity for Democrats. Multiple polls have shown Kelly leading, in some cases by double digits, and polls also locate the former vice president. Joe BidenJoe BidenGOP: Trump needs a new plan to distract Trump, fuels right-wing violence Biden to accept nomination in Milwaukee amid reduced convention MORE before President TrumpDonald John Trump: Trump rally triggers quarantine of dozens of Republican Secret Service agents: Trump needs new plan Trump faces ObamaCare court deadline as political terrain changes MORE.

The same New York Times / Sienna College poll shows Biden leading Trump by a 48-41 margin.

Democrats blame a growing Hispanic population and growing disgust for Trump in the suburbs by increasing their chances of winning the state’s 11 electoral votes for the first time since 1996.

The Cook Political Report calls the Arizona Senate race a “shakeup.”

Senator Thom TillisThomas (Thom) Roland Tillis The Hill Campaign Report: Progressives Feel the Moment After Cruz Elementary Night Urges Trump to Support Israeli Annexation Black Voters Need a New Senate as Much as a New President MORE (R), who is running for a second term in North Carolina, also follows his Democratic challenger, former state Sen. Cal Cunningham, albeit by a smaller margin. The new poll shows Cunningham with a 42-39 advantage among registered voters, with 19 percent saying they are undecided or would vote for someone else. The survey results are within the margin of error.

The same poll found Trump behind Biden by 9 points in the Tarheel State.

Cook’s Political Report calls the run for the North Carolina Senate a “shake-up.”

Michigan Senator Gary PetersGary Charles Peters Congresswoman Should Reestablish Tax Certificate Program To Promote Media Ownership Diversity Black Voters Need New Senate As Much As New President McConnell Plans To Remain As Leader Of Republican Senate Party, Even If He Loses Majority PLUS (D) also has a 10-point lead over his Republican challenger John James, a businessman and former combat veteran, who leads him by a 41-31 margin. However, a whopping 29 percent of voters remain undecided or say they would vote for someone else.

In addition to Alabama, where Democratic Senator Doug Jones is considered to be particularly vulnerable, Michigan represents the next best opportunity for the Republican Party to go on the offensive in the battle for the Senate. However, James has not led in a single general survey to date.

The Cook Political Report calls the Michigan Senate race a “skinny” Democrat.

Republicans currently have a 53-47 majority in the Senate, though control of the upper house is increasingly seen as the Republican Party defends itself on a list of states with just a couple of pickup opportunities.

In addition to Arizona and North Carolina, Democratic candidates are presenting tough challenges to Republican incumbents in Colorado, Georgia, Iowa, Maine and Montana, providing the party with a number of paths to the Senate majority.

The New York Times / Sienna College polled 650 registered voters in Arizona, 610 registered voters in Michigan, and 653 registered voters in North Carolina from June 17 to 22. The results for each state have an error of approximately 4 percent.