Death rate plummets as CDC director says COVID cases are likely 10 times higher

The number of Americans who have contracted COVID-19 is probably 10 times greater than the 2.5 million currently confirmed cases, says the head of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

The estimate by the Director of the Center for Disease Control (CDC), Dr. Robert Redfield, indicates that at least 25 million Americans have been infected with SARS-CoV-2 to date.

That means that the death rate could be 10 times lower than previously thought.

According to the June 28 issue, through the Johns Hopkins Center for Systems Science and Engineering:

  • 2,510,337 confirmed cases
  • 125,539 deaths
  • = 5.0% mortality rate

But using the Redfield numbers, the equation looks like this:

  • 25,103,370 cases
  • 125,539 deaths
  • = 0.5% mortality rate

Confirmed cases of COVID-19 have soared recently amid a massive increase in testing in states across the country. But because the virus can be asymptomatic in up to 50% of people, the number of infected is probably much higher, Redfield says.

Millions of Americans have performed antibody tests, which show whether a person’s blood indicates that the immune system has responded to the infection. Some studies have shown that the number of those infected is much higher than the official count maintained by the CDC, as well as the Hopkins count.

Most of the predictions have been far from reality. First, officials forecast 1.7 million Americans dead; Then they remade the models and said 100,000-240,000 would die. But some studies have revealed different scenarios.

A new study suggests that up to 8.7 million Americans were infected with coronaviruses in March, but found that more than 80% went undiagnosed.

“The findings support a scenario in which more than 8.7 million new SARS-CoV-2 infections appeared in the US during March and estimate that more than 80% of these cases remained unidentified as the outbreak spread quickly, “Justin Silverman of Penn State University, Alex Washburne of Montana State University and colleagues at Cornell University and elsewhere wrote in the study.

According to Redfield’s claim, millions upon millions of Americans have already been infected with the virus. But this has been known for some time (although the fact has been little reported in the mainstream media).

An antibody study conducted in late April in New York City found that 1 in 5 (21.2%) of residents had already been infected with the coronavirus. There are 8.5 million people in New York City, so that would mean that 1.8 million New Yorkers have had the virus.

At the time of the study, there were 16,249 deaths in the city attributed to COVID-19, which meant that the death rate in the city was 0.89%, well below what was reported in the US media. USA

The results of an antibody survey in Los Angeles found that as many as 442,000 residents of Los Angeles County may have already been infected with the coronavirus in early April, far more than the 8,000 confirmed cases at the time. The survey suggested that the death rate from the virus could be as low as 0.18% of COVID-19 patients, meaning that the actual death rate in the city was much lower than what was reported. .

The Daily Mail reported in April that “the coronavirus can kill 70 times fewer patients than official death figures in the UK suggest, studies have shown.” The Mail said a similar death rate, 0.19%, was found in a study of residents in Helsinki, Finland.

And a study, this one conducted by Dr. Justin Silverman, estimated that there were 8.7 million coronavirus infections in the US between March 8-28. And as of April 17, 10% of Americans have been infected, representing approximately 33 million Americans, the study found.

Meanwhile, an antibody study from Stanford University in late April estimated the death rate from the virus is likely to be 0.1% to 0.2%. The World Health Organization (WHO) had estimated the death rate to be 20 to 30 times higher and called for isolation policies.

In New York City, the American epicenter of the pandemic, the death rate for people ages 18 to 45 was 0.01%, or 10 per 100,000 in the population, a May study found. However, people age 75 and older have an 80-fold higher death rate. For children under the age of 18, the death rate is zero per 100,000.

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