COVID-19 San Francisco: projection shows serious situation for coronavirus hospitalizations, deaths in late 2020


SAN FRANCISCO (KGO) – San Francisco Mayor London Breed and Director of Public Health Dr. Grant Colfax shared a grim look at the current state of the coronavirus in San Francisco.

RELATED: SF Mayor London Breed Negative for COVID-19 After Being Exposed to Virus at Event

City leaders delved deep into the San Francisco COVID-19 data. The city has seen 4,950 confirmed cases of coronavirus and 50 related deaths. Almost 1,000 of those cases have been diagnosed in the past two weeks, and the southeastern part of the city has been hit especially hard.

Right now, researchers believe that for every person infected with COVID-19 in San Francisco, he or she spreads it to 1.25 people on average. It may not sound like much, but that infection rate has the potential to land San Francisco in a setting like the one New York saw in March and April.

“This is the slide that keeps me awake at night,” said Dr. Colfax as he presented the data. At the current rate of spread, the city is projected to see 830 hospitalizations by the end of the year.

“Let’s think about that for a minute,” he said. “In April, we reached a maximum of 94 hospitalizations.”

The worst case scenario shows that hospitalizations reach a maximum of 6,000 by the end of the year.

RELATED: This Is Where The COVID-19 Crisis Is Worsening In The Bay Area, According To New Data

Deaths are also projected to increase dramatically. Although the city has only seen 50 deaths so far, at the current rate of spread, that number will likely rise to 890 without a change in course. In the worst case, deaths could be around 3,000 before the end of the year.

Another surprising stat shared by Colfax on Monday: 49.7% of all diagnosed cases are San Francisco Hispanic / Latino residents.

Dr. Colfax also shared data on the city’s increasing hospitalization and ICU numbers, which he said are concerning. In addition to that, San Francisco hospitals have received ICU patients transferred from San Quentin State Prison in Marin County.

To avoid the end-of-the-world scenarios outlined by Dr. Colfax, the city emphasizes the need for people of social distance to wear face covers and avoid congregating indoors. The city is also indefinitely pausing to reopen indoor restaurants, bars, gyms, and more.

In Mayor Breed’s first camera interview since testing negative for COVID-19, San Francisco Breed said she was furious to discover that someone with the virus had “endangered” her and others’ health by attending an event. public this week.

The mayor spoke to ABC7’s Kristen Sze on Friday afternoon about “Getting Answers,” covering her brush with the virus, the San Francisco path to reopening, and the city’s COVID-19 testing capabilities.

RELATED: Mayor London Breed Says Open-Air Bars and Reopening Indoor Restaurants Are Delayed Indefinitely

Breed reiterated the responsibility that falls on San Francisco residents during the pandemic. “Let’s face it: We are living in COVID for the next 18 months. Therefore, we have to make adjustments to protect each other,” said Breed.

The San Francisco Zoo reopened Monday morning. Monday’s San Francisco reopening phase was supposed to include indoor restaurants and open-air bars, but that remains on hold.

The city also announced on Friday that nail and beauty salons, tattoo parlors and massage parlors will be in the next group considered for reopening.

RELATED: This Is Where The COVID-19 Crisis Is Worsening In The Bay Area, According To New Data

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