A new study published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Sciences Projects states that with the numerous deaths occurring in the Black and Latino populations, the Covid-19 is expected to reach the U.S. in 2020. Will reduce life expectancy by 1.13 years. When combined with a provisional estimate of U.S. mortality in the first half of the year, the epidemic has hit the nation, showing a clear increase in mortality.
“The estimated decline for black and Latino populations is three to four times greater than for whites. As a result, Covid-19 will reverse 10 years of progress in closing the black-and-white gap in life expectancy and reduce previous Latino mortality by more than 70%,” said the study’s researchers. According to Theresa Andreseff of the University of Southern California and Naurin Goldman of Princeton University Pop Population Research.
“Black and Latino Americans have experienced an disproportionate burden of Covid-19 morbidity and mortality, reflecting the persistent structural disparities that increase the risk of exposure to Covid-19 and the risk of death for infected people.”
Before the epidemic, U.S. Was making steady progress in terms of lifespan, although it has slowed down in recent years.
But epidemics have left all that progress behind, and have also widened the gap between black-and-white life.
“Black and Latino populations are estimated to experience a reduction in life expectancy at births of 2.10 and 3.05 years, respectively, which is many times the 0.68 year decline for both whites. These estimates show an increase of about 40% in black.” , Thereby reversing the progress made in reducing this gap since 2006, “the study added.
CDC: U.S. in second quarter Mortality increased significantly
New data from the National Center for Health Statistics suggests that Covid-19 has led to a significant jump in mortality in the U.S.
The age-adjusted all-cause mortality rate was 769 per 100,000 in the first quarter of 2020 and rose to 840 in the second quarter of the year. By comparison, the death rate in the second quarter of 2019 was 702 per 100,000, the NCHSA said.
The report shows that there has been a significant increase in mortality in 2020, providing an incomplete snapshot of the epidemic as data is currently only available for the first two quarters.
Last week, CDC statisticians said Covid-19 was probably the third leading cause of death in 2020. They estimated that there would be a total of 316,252 to 431,792 more deaths in 2020.
Heart disease is the top killer and the U.S. The second leading cause of death in India is cancer.
This estimate is based on death records received by the NCHS as of November 27, 2020.
Multi-year effect
Andresfe and Goldam’s study used data from the University of Washington’s Health Metrics and the National Center for Evaluation and Health Statistics in Washington, D.C. They also used different models and estimates for mortality.
“Our median estimate indicates a decline in life expectancy in the U.S. at 1.13 years of birth, the lowest in any year since 2003,” he said.
“This effect is 10 times greater than the alarming annual decline many years ago, largely attributed to drug overdoses, other external causes and respiratory and cardiovascular diseases.”
U.S. in terms of longevity. It is already lagging behind other rich countries and the epidemic will make it worse.
“The U.S. is projected to decline in life expectancy by 2020 compared to most other high-income countries, showing that the United States – which has a longer lifespan than all other high-income developed countries before the epidemic – has a longer life expectancy than its peers. Will see it go down, ”the chairman said.
The effects of the epidemic are expected to be good after 2020.
“Due to the Covid-19 mortality rate and the long-term health, social and economic impacts of the epidemic, a slight reduction in life expectancy will continue beyond 2020.”
Maggie Fox and Jessica Firger contributed to this report.
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