CNN Polls: Biden leads in Pennsylvania and tight races in Florida


Voting ended just two weeks before election day, with minority minorities saying they had already cast ballots, a huge blow for voters in both states. Those who have yet to vote, however, have broken down in favor of Trump, but now there is not as large a margin as Biden among those voting.

In Florida, which has 29 electoral votes and a decisive battleground in the presidential race, 50% of potential voters say they support Biden, 46% Trump. The difference between the two is exactly the same on the margin of the margin of the voting sample, meaning that there is no clear leader in the survey.

Pennsylvania’s results show Biden well ahead in the state, with 20 voters, with 53% of potential voters behind him and 43% supporting Trump.

In both surveys, Biden has double digits on Trump because he is more confident of a coronavirus outbreak (% id% Biden to% ૨% Trump in Pennsylvania and 53%% Trump from 53% Biden in Florida), and the same is true to handle. U.S. Racial inequality in (58% Trump from Biden in Pennsylvania and 42% Trump from Biden in Florida). In both states, Trump also has a slight edge in handling nominations to the Supreme Court (51% to 45% in Pennsylvania, 50% to 46% in Florida). Biden is often seen as a candidate who will unite rather than divide the country (56% Biden to 39% Trump in Florida and% B% Biden to 35% Trump in Pennsylvania), and care more about people like you (55% ) 42% Trump from Biden in Pennsylvania and 52% Trump from Biden in Florida).

In Pennsylvania, Biden’s advantages include a clear plan to solve the country’s problems (50% Biden to 42% Trump) and an edge to keep Americans safe from harm (51% Biden to 46% Trump).

In Florida, those two metrics are very strict, saying% Biden has a clear plan to solve 45% of what the country does against Trump, and% %% Biden will protect Americans from harm. Trump will say%.

With more confidence in the economy in Florida, Trump has taken the lead over Biden, with 51% saying they prefer Trump vs. 46% Biden. In Pennsylvania, however, the two are even closer on the basis of this question, with 50% saying they trust Trump more, 48% Biden.

The new polls are consistent with other high-quality polls in both states in recent days. In Florida, a CNN poll shows the state averaging 49% support for Biden and 44% for Trump. The current average of high-quality turnout in Pennsylvania also shows Biden’s lead, with the former vice president backing an average of 5% and the current president 43%.

Among those already voting in both states, Biden has a big advantage, but Trump is ahead of those who have not yet voted in both states. In Pennsylvania, where pre-election voting has not been a major factor in past elections, Biden leads 88% to 10% in about a quarter of potential voters already voting. But among those who have not yet voted, 54% back Trump, 42% Biden.

There is also a clear difference between the two groups in Florida, where the majority of votes in the 2008 presidential election have been by pre-election voting. About 35% of potential voters say they have already voted there, and with that group, 71% say they support Biden, 27% Trump. Who have yet to put a pause in the vote for Trump, which is 56% to 40%.

Polls also show that Trump supporters are more enthusiastic about voting than Biden supporters in both states. In Florida, 58% of potential Trump voters say they are more enthusiastic about voting this year than 49% of Biden voters. In Pennsylvania, the gap has narrowed, with 1% of Trump voters saying they are too enthusiastic to vote against 56% of Biden voters.

Biden is leading in both states with women, voters of color, and voters aged 65 and over. Men are equally divided in Pennsylvania but give a break for Trump in Florida. Voters under the age of 35 are breaking ground for Biden in both states, but voters between the ages of 35 and 49 in Pennsylvania are swinging Biden’s way as they lean towards Trump in Florida.

In Pennsylvania, white voters are widely divided by education, with white voters who have a four-year college degree degree bidding Trump a 63% to 35% margin, while those without a degree support Trump 59%. Supported by To 35% margin. That division is lower in Florida, where white college college-graduate voters are evenly divided, 49% behind each candidate.

In Florida, white voters generally break out in favor of Trump, while Biden has a shorter lead with colored voters than Pedaslavnia (66% in Florida, 0% in Trump, 83% in Biden in Pennsylvania compared to 11% in Trump). In Florida, surveys indicate that Biden is showing Hillary Clinton’s 2016 state by showing મત% support among Latino voters and 45% by Trump (Clinton won 5% of the group, according to exit polls there).

The presidential approval rating among potential voters reflects his overall support in the presidential race. In Pennsylvania, 44% approval for Trump to run for president; In Florida it is 45%.

CNN polls in Florida and Pennsylvania were conducted by telephone between 15 random samples of adults from both states from October to October 20. In Florida, 1,002 adults were interviewed, including 847 potential voters. In Pennsylvania, 1,015 adults, including 843 potential voters, were interviewed. Plus or minus percentage in results among potential voters in both states. Percentage is the margin of error of the point sample. It is more common in subgroups.

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